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TRS

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Consumer Cyclical

TriMas Corporation

Conservative #552Aggressive #809Low RiskModerate 72
$38.00+3.12%
Day High$42.00
Day Low$37.22
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$1.5B
52W Low $1952W High $42
Market Cap
$1.5B
P/E Ratio
34.2
Sector avg: 36.9
Rev Growth
3.5%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
-39.9%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
0.63

Why This Score

TRS scores 52.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (72/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. TRS's rank of #552 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score52.9
Fundamental Score51.4
ML Score49.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
63.9
6 Month
71.5
Primary
1 Year
75.2

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
71
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
74
Grade B
Base
48.9
SHAP
+3.2
Factors
+0.8
Final
52.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

50AVG
Value61
Quality34
Growth24
Stability77
Investment56

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)35.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)65.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-7.8% to +1.8%
Long-term
-10.4% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 49

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside+23.2%
Coverage14 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score71.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.8%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+84.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.08)
Relative Strength vs Sector+77.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.688
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P47
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P21
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P24
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 51 relative to sector peers51/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 49th percentileP49
Blended score: 80% fundamental (51) + 20% ML (49) = 50.950.9
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 12% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +3.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical โ€” Rank #48 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TRS52.934.23.5%4.3%$1.5B
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$93.0B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$31.0B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.8B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$77.0B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.1B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.0B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$9.9B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$39.7B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.2B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.8B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.2B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.2B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

TriMas Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and sells products for consumer products, aerospace, and industrial markets worldwide. It operates through three segments: Packaging, Aerospace, and Specialty Products. The Packaging segment offers dispensing products, such as foaming and sanitizer pumps, lotion and hand soap pumps, beverage dispensers, perfume sprayers, and nasal and trigger sprayers; polymeric and steel caps and closures comprising food lids, flip-top and beverage closures, child resistance caps, drum and pail closures, flexible spouts, and agricultural closures; polymeric jar products; integrated dispensers; bag-in-box products; aseptic closures; industrial closures and flex spouts; custom injection molded components and devices; various injection molded products; and single-bodied and assembled caps and closures under the Rieke, Taplast, Affaba & Ferrari, Stolz, Omega, and Rapak brands. The Aerospace segment provides fasteners, collars, blind bolts, rivets, ducting, and connectors for air management systems, and machined parts and components to original equipment manufacturers, supply chain distributors, MRO/aftermarket providers, and tier one suppliers; and military and defense aerospace applications and platforms under the Monogram Aerospace Fasteners, Allfast Fastening Systems, Mac Fasteners, TFI Aerospace, RSA Engineered Products, and Martinic Engineering brands. The Specialty Products segment offers steel cylinders for use in the transportation, storage, and dispensing of compressed gases under the Norris Cylinder brand; natural gas powered wellhead engines, compressors, and replacement parts for oil and natural gas production, and other industrial and commercial markets under the Arrow brand; and spare parts for various industrial engines. The company sells its products through a direct sales force, third-party agents, and distributors. TriMas Corporation was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.

CEO
Thomas J. Snyder
Employees
3,900
Beta
0.57
Industry
Packaging & Containers
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
70.9
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-9.5%
High: $42
From 52W Low
+96.6%
Low: $19.33
Moving Averages
10-Day
$36.90
Above
20-Day
$36.10
Above
50-Day
$35.40
Above
200-Day
$33.80
Above
60-Day Support
$32.51
60-Day Resistance
$42
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 83/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+12.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+12.3%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.08x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$644.9B$269M$275M$242M
Gross Profit$138.0B$62M$66M$53M
Operating Income$29.9B$25M$27M$16M
Net Income$81.7B$9M$17M$12M
EPS (Diluted)$1.81$0.23$0.41$0.30
Gross Margin21.4%23.1%24.0%22.1%
Operating Margin4.6%9.2%9.9%6.8%
Net Margin12.7%3.5%6.1%5.1%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalValuation below sector median (P/E 34.2)

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 74/100Score impact: +8.3pt

Volume
82
547K avg/day
Dollar Vol
80
$20M/day
Float
61
31M shares
Mkt Cap
50
$1.5B
Range
100
109% spread
Composite Liquidity Score74/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 9/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$27.86$38.7232.6%Moderate
2022$21.41$37.6555%Wide
2023$22.59$31.8934.1%Moderate
2024$22.45$28.5123.8%Narrow
2025$19.33$40.3470.4%Wide
3-Year Range
70.4%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
77.5%
Outstanding Shares
41M
Bid-Ask Spread
109.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.