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70

TIGO

📡 Communication Services

Millicom International Cellular

Conservative #100Aggressive #64Low RiskModerate 60
$66.70-2.73%
Day High$68.67
Day Low$66.55
Volume1.0M
Mkt Cap$11.1B
52W Low $2652W High $69
Market Cap
$11.0B
P/E Ratio
10.1
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
2.5%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
397.7%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
1.87

Why This Score

TIGO scores 69.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 10.1x earnings, below the market average.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (177%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.87) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-3.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score69.8
Fundamental Score65.8
ML Score81.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.6
6 Month
80.0
Primary
1 Year
84.3

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
54
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
57
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
97
Grade A
Base
65.8
SHAP
+3.2
Factors
+0.8
Divergence
-0.0
Final
69.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

71AVG
Value85
Quality55
Growth90
Stability45
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)60.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)95.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)53.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.7% to +7.5%
Medium-term
+5.0% to +12.3%
Long-term
+7.3% to +17.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 81

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score56.8/100
Target Upside-15.9%
Coverage11 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score54.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.8%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+133.4%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.25)
Relative Strength vs Sector+177.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.721
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
23%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P45
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P53
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P77
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 75 relative to sector peers75/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 85th percentileP85
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +5.0pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (75.1) + 9% ML (85.3) + SHAP(+5.0) = 81.0
Factor quality: +1.2pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 7.4%Low
Momentum mean-reversion: -4.9pt (177% 12m momentum)
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($11.0B market cap)+2.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -30 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Earnings growth (398%) massively exceeds revenue growth (2.5%) — earnings spike likely non-recurring; Earnings/revenue growth ratio of 157x — earnings quality suspect; High leverage: D/E ratio of 1.9x — elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #5 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
VEON56.16.08.3%15.2%$3.9B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold11 analysts
Buy: 4Hold: 6Sell: 1
Price Target
$57consensus
Low $43Median $57High $70
-15.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Millicom International Cellular S.A. provides cable and mobile services in Latin America and Africa. The company offers mobile services, including mobile data and voice; short message service; and mobile financial services, such as payments, money transfers, international remittances, savings, real-time loans, and micro-insurance. It also provides cable and other fixed services, including broadband, content, fixed voice, and pay-TV to residential consumers; and fixed, managed services, cloud and security solutions, and value-added services to small, medium, and large businesses, as well as governmental entities. As of December 31, 2021, the company served 44.9 million mobile customers; and 12.7 million cable homes. It markets its products and services under Tigo and Tigo Business brands. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Luxembourg.

CEO
Marcelo Benitez
Employees
14,000
Beta
0.93
Industry
Telecommunications Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
59.3
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-3.2%
High: $68.93
From 52W Low
+161.6%
Low: $25.5
Moving Averages
10-Day
$65.90
Above
20-Day
$64.80
Above
50-Day
$59.00
Above
200-Day
$47.80
Above
60-Day Support
$49.4
60-Day Resistance
$68.93
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+39.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+21.32%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.04x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$1.4B$1.4B$1.4B$1.4B
Gross Profit$1.1B$1.1B$761M$1.1B
Operating Income$390M$357M$338M$374M
Net Income$195M$676M$193M$32M
EPS (Diluted)$1.16$4.03$1.14$0.18
Gross Margin78.0%77.0%55.4%75.9%
Operating Margin27.5%26.0%24.6%26.2%
Net Margin13.7%49.3%14.0%2.2%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesP/E ratio of 10.1Valuation below sector median (P/E 10.1)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 97/100Score impact: -8.2pt

Volume
100
1.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$71M/day
Float
99
96M shares
Mkt Cap
81
$11.0B
Range
100
170% spread
Composite Liquidity Score97/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$26.18$46.1855.3%Wide
2022$10.22$29.6697.5%Wide
2023$12.91$21.1548.4%Wide
2024$15.55$28.7559.6%Wide
2025$23.61$56.2781.8%Wide
3-Year Range
125.4%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
57.7%
Outstanding Shares
167M
Bid-Ask Spread
170.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.