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LBTYA

📡 Communication Services

Liberty Global plc

Conservative #915Aggressive #1139Low RiskHigh 82
$12.83-0.08%
Day High$12.86
Day Low$12.63
Volume1.8M
Mkt Cap$4.3B
52W Low $952W High $14
Market Cap
$4.2B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
12.4%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
-549.5%
Profit Margin
-146.3%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
1.04

Why This Score

LBTYA scores 37.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (82/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.04) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-0.6 points) applied. LBTYA's rank of #915 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score37.8
Fundamental Score39.3
ML Score20.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
40.6
6 Month
45.3
Primary
1 Year
47.7

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
41
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
62
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
82
Grade A
Base
35.4
SHAP
+1.2
Factors
+0.4
Conviction
+1.4
Divergence
-0.6
Final
37.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)41.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)58.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)51.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-9.0% to -3.9%
Medium-term
-12.1% to -4.7%
Long-term
-15.2% to -5.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 20

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.1/100
Target Upside-2.3%
Coverage29 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score40.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+1.4%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.80)
Relative Strength vs Sector-5.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.9)
Momentum Quality-0.049
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
18%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P73
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P73
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P89
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 48 relative to sector peers48/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 50th percentileP50
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.2pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (48.0) + 9% ML (48.3) + SHAP(+1.2) = 49.3
Factor quality: +0.4pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 6.6%. Stability bonus of +8.8 points. Max drawdown 16% (-3.3 pts). Price momentum -6% (-0.2 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.2B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction bonus: +1.4pt (conviction=82)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -18 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (0.7%) exceeds net margin (-146.3%) by 147pp — possible write-down; High accrual ratio (117.1%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #36 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
LBTYA37.8N/A12.4%-146.3%$4.2B
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy29 analysts
Buy: 16Hold: 11Sell: 2
Price Target
$13consensus
Low $13Median $13High $13
-1.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Liberty Global plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides broadband internet, video, fixed-line telephony, and mobile communications services to residential and business customers. It offers value-added broadband services, such as intelligent WiFi features; security; smart home, online storage solutions, and Web spaces; Connect Box, a set-top or Horizon box that delivers in-home Wi-Fi service; community Wi-Fi via routers in home, which provides access to the internet; and public Wi-Fi access points in train stations, hotels, bars, restaurants, and other public places. The company also provides various tiers of digital video programming and audio services, as well as digital video recorders and multimedia home gateway systems; and channels, including general entertainment, sports, movies, series, documentaries, lifestyles, news, adult, children, and ethnic and foreign channels. In addition, it offers postpaid and prepaid mobile services; circuit-switched telephony services; and personal call manager, unified messaging, and a second or third phone line at an incremental cost. Further, the company offers business services comprising voice, advanced data, video, wireless, cloud-based services, and mobile and converged fixed-mobile services to small or home office, small business, and medium and large enterprises, as well as on a wholesale basis to other operators. It operates in the United Kingdom, Belgium, Switzerland, Ireland, Poland, Slovakia, and internationally. Liberty Global plc was founded in 2004 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

CEO
Michael Thomas Fries
Employees
6,820
Beta
0.84
Industry
Telecommunications Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
65.1
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5.1%
High: $13.52
From 52W Low
+42.1%
Low: $9.03
Moving Averages
10-Day
$12.10
Above
20-Day
$11.70
Above
50-Day
$11.20
Above
200-Day
$10.80
Above
60-Day Support
$10.09
60-Day Resistance
$13.52
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 — ToppingScore: 33/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+18.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.47%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
1.81x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
23
Confidence: 70%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.2B$1.2B$1.3B$1.2B
Gross Profit$-603M$322M$804M$768M
Operating Income$-50M$-8M$30M$61M
Net Income$-2.9B$-91M$-2.8B$-1.3B
EPS (Diluted)$-8.03$-0.25$-8.09$-3.84
Gross Margin-49.0%26.7%63.3%65.6%
Operating Margin-4.0%-0.7%2.3%5.2%
Net Margin-237.0%-7.5%-220.1%-114.2%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesRevenue growth 12.4%Valuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade A — 82/100Score impact: -2.1pt

Volume
100
2.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
86
$29M/day
Float
60
0K shares
Mkt Cap
66
$4.2B
Range
85
50% spread
Composite Liquidity Score82/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 10/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$11.95$15.7527.4%Moderate
2022$7.84$14.9862.6%Wide
2023$7.73$11.3838.2%Wide
2024$8.09$14.3055.5%Wide
2025$9.03$13.1737.3%Wide
3-Year Range
59.6%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
50.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.