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28

CCOI

📡 Communication Services

Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc.

Conservative #1155Aggressive #1282High RiskModerate 73
Market Cap
$913M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-5.8%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
10.7%
Profit Margin
-19.0%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

CCOI scores 28.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -45.91) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (73/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (18.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-0.4 points) applied. CCOI's rank of #1155 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score28.3
Fundamental Score29.3
ML Score13.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
38.8
6 Month
43.4
Primary
1 Year
45.7

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
52
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
54
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
81
Grade A
Base
26.1
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
-0.1
Divergence
-0.2
Final
28.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)51.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)27.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-10.5% to -2.8%
Medium-term
-14.4% to -3.2%
Long-term
-18.4% to -3.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 13

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score53.9/100
Target Upside+60.4%
Coverage32 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score51.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum-0.6%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-32.6%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.47)
Relative Strength vs Sector-61.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.4)
Momentum Quality-0.204
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P8
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P73
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P5
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 35 relative to sector peers35/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 48th percentileP48
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (34.7) + 9% ML (45.3) + SHAP(+2.5) = 38.1
Factor quality: -0.1pt (multi-factor composite)
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.9B market cap)-15.0 pts
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: high. Annualized volatility 18.2%. Max drawdown 67% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -61% (-10.0 pts)High
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (94.2%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #48 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CCOI28.3N/A-5.8%-19.0%$913M
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for CCOI.

Why This Stock

Communication Services

Tradability FilterGrade A — 81/100Score impact: -5.8pt

Volume
100
1.3M avg/day
Dollar Vol
82
$22M/day
Float
77
47M shares
Mkt Cap
38
$913M
Range
100
404% spread
Composite Liquidity Score81/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.35x dampening
weinstein basingrevenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
95.0%
Outstanding Shares
49M
Bid-Ask Spread
404.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.