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47

CHTR

📡 Communication Services

Charter Communications, Inc.

Conservative #646Aggressive #725Moderate RiskHigh 99
$225.75-2.63%
Day High$233.43
Day Low$225.00
Volume1.3M
Mkt Cap$29.2B
52W Low $18052W High $437
Market Cap
$30.9B
P/E Ratio
6.6
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
-0.6%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
-1.9%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
6.05

Why This Score

CHTR scores 47.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 31.1% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Attractively valued at 6.6x earnings, below the market average.
  • High conviction (99/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (12.5%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 6.05) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-1.6 points) applied. CHTR's rank of #646 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score47.1
Fundamental Score40.1
ML Score63.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
70.1
6 Month
78.3
Primary
1 Year
82.4

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 6.0x — balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
45
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
60
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
97
Grade A
Base
44.3
SHAP
+1.3
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+1.9
Divergence
-1.2
Final
47.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

63AVG
Value95
Quality70
Growth45
Stability35
Investment70

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)56.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)36.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.4% to +6.2%
Medium-term
-0.2% to +9.9%
Long-term
+0.0% to +13.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 63

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score60.0/100
Target Upside+36.2%
Coverage55 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score45.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-24.3%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.29)
Relative Strength vs Sector-34.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.7)
Momentum Quality-0.168
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
44%
High risk — cheap + stagnating
Sector RevGr Rank
P26
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P60
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P100
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 77 relative to sector peers77/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 83th percentileP83
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (77.0) + 9% ML (82.7) + SHAP(+2.4) = 80.0
Factor quality: +1.5pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 12.5%. Max drawdown 51% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -34% (-5.8 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($30.9B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.5pt (conviction=99)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -10 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 6.0x — balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #26 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CHTR47.16.6-0.6%9.1%$30.9B
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy55 analysts
Buy: 26Hold: 25Sell: 4
Price Target
$308consensus
Low $160Median $220High $500
+36.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Charter Communications, Inc. operates as a broadband connectivity and cable operator company serving residential and commercial customers in the United States. The company offers subscription-based video services, including video on demand, high-definition television, digital video recorder, pay-per-view services. It provides Internet services, such as security suite that protects computers from viruses and spyware, and threats from malicious actors; in-home WiFi, which provides customers with high performance wireless routers to enhance their in-home wireless Internet experience; out-of-home WiFi; and Spectrum WiFi services, as well as video services. The company also offers voice communications services using voice over Internet protocol technology; and broadband communications solutions, such as Internet access, data networking, fiber connectivity, video entertainment, and business telephone services to cellular towers and office buildings for business and carrier organizations. In addition, it provides mobile services; offers video programming, static IP and business WiFi, email and security, and multi-line telephone services, as well as Web-based service management; sells local advertising across various platforms for networks, such as TBS, CNN, and ESPN; sells advertising inventory to local sports and news channels; and offers Audience App for optimizes linear inventory. Further, the company offers communications products and managed service solutions; data connectivity services to mobile and wireline carriers on a wholesale basis; and owns and operates regional sports and news networks. It serves approximately 32 million customers in 41 states. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

CEO
Christopher L. Winfrey
Employees
94,500
Beta
1.05
Industry
Telecommunications Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
51.3
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-48.3%
High: $437.06
From 52W Low
+25.2%
Low: $180.38
Moving Averages
10-Day
$234.10
Below
20-Day
$225.70
Above
50-Day
$211.90
Above
200-Day
$278.30
Below
60-Day Support
$180.38
60-Day Resistance
$249.24
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 11/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-18.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-14.05%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.74x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$13.6B$13.7B$13.8B$13.7B
Gross Profit$5.5B$6.3B$6.4B$6.4B
Operating Income$3.4B$3.3B$3.4B$3.4B
Net Income$1.3B$1.1B$1.3B$1.2B
EPS (Diluted)$10.34$8.34$9.18$8.42
Gross Margin40.3%46.2%46.4%46.4%
Operating Margin24.7%23.8%24.4%24.5%
Net Margin9.8%8.3%9.5%8.9%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesP/E ratio of 6.6Valuation below sector median (P/E 6.6)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 97/100Score impact: -12.9pt

Volume
100
2.0M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$455M/day
Float
93
82M shares
Mkt Cap
90
$30.9B
Range
100
142% spread
Composite Liquidity Score97/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$590.44$825.6233.2%Moderate
2022$297.66$653.0974.8%Wide
2023$315.02$458.3037.1%Wide
2024$236.08$415.2755%Wide
2025$193.00$437.0677.5%Wide
3-Year Range
81.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
63.1%
Outstanding Shares
129M
Bid-Ask Spread
142.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.