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59

TMUS

📡 Communication Services

T-Mobile US, Inc.

Conservative #315Aggressive #424Low RiskModerate 66ML↑ 17pt
$218.66-1.50%
Day High$223.56
Day Low$218.13
Volume4.8M
Mkt Cap$244.6B
52W Low $18152W High $276
Market Cap
$245.5B
P/E Ratio
22.6
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
8.5%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
-3.1%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
2.07

Why This Score

TMUS scores 59.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 18.6% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Low volatility (5.7% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Large-cap ($246B) with deep liquidity and institutional ownership.
Risk Factors
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 2.07) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-0.9 points) applied. TMUS's rank of #315 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score59.3
Fundamental Score52.1
ML Score73.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
70.9
6 Month
79.3
Primary
1 Year
83.4

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
47
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
69
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
95
Grade A
Base
56.3
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+1.4
Divergence
-0.9
Final
59.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

60AVG
Value70
Quality70
Growth60
Stability45
Investment55

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)52.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)79.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.2% to +4.1%
Medium-term
+0.3% to +6.9%
Long-term
+0.8% to +9.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 73

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score69.3/100
Target Upside+17.3%
Coverage53 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score46.5/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-5.2%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.70)
Relative Strength vs Sector-17.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.1)
Momentum Quality-0.130
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
9%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P61
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P32
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P69
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 84th percentileP84
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (67.1) + 9% ML (84.0) + SHAP(+2.5) = 71.1—
Factor quality: +1.4pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 5.6%. Stability bonus of +10.7 points. Max drawdown 25% (-6.9 pts). Price momentum -17% (-2.5 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +5.0 points ($245.5B market cap)+5.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.0pt (ML 17pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: High leverage: D/E ratio of 2.1x — elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #13 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
VEON56.16.08.3%15.2%$3.9B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy53 analysts
Buy: 42Hold: 10Sell: 1
Price Target
$257consensus
Low $235Median $252High $310
+17.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to 108.7 million customers in the postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale markets. It also provides wireless devices, including smartphones, wearables, and tablets and other mobile communication devices, as well as wireless devices and accessories. In addition, the company offers services, devices, and accessories under the T-Mobile and Metro by T-Mobile brands through its owned and operated retail stores, T-Mobile app and customer care channels, and its websites. It also sells its devices to dealers and other third-party distributors for resale through independent third-party retail outlets and various third-party websites. As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 102,000 macro cell and 41,000 small cell/distributed antenna system sites. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.

CEO
Srinivasan Gopalan
Employees
70,000
Beta
0.43
Industry
Telecommunications Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
68.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-20.9%
High: $276.49
From 52W Low
+20.6%
Low: $181.36
Moving Averages
10-Day
$216.80
Above
20-Day
$206.60
Above
50-Day
$199.70
Above
200-Day
$223.70
Below
60-Day Support
$181.36
60-Day Resistance
$224.75
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 21/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-2.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-7.26%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.25x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$24.3B$22.0B$21.1B$20.9B
Gross Profit$10.3B$10.8B$13.8B$13.5B
Operating Income$3.9B$4.9B$5.2B$4.8B
Net Income$2.1B$2.7B$3.2B$3.0B
EPS (Diluted)$1.88$2.41$2.84$2.58
Gross Margin42.5%49.3%65.1%64.6%
Operating Margin15.9%22.1%24.7%23.0%
Net Margin8.6%12.4%15.2%14.1%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesP/E ratio of 22.6Profit margin 12.4%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 95/100Score impact: -3.6pt

Volume
100
5.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$1.3B/day
Float
80
0K shares
Mkt Cap
100
$245.5B
Range
86
52% spread
Composite Liquidity Score95/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$106.70$150.2033.9%Moderate
2022$101.51$154.3841.3%Wide
2023$124.92$161.1925.4%Moderate
2024$158.84$248.1543.9%Wide
2025$194.01$276.4935.1%Wide
3-Year Range
75.5%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
52.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.