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11

ATNI

📡 Communication Services

ATN International, Inc.

Conservative #1381Aggressive #1364Moderate RiskModerate 62ML↑ 19pt
$28.53-0.24%
Day High$28.74
Day Low$28.40
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$435M
52W Low $1452W High $30
Market Cap
$428M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-4.3%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
-81.8%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
1.57

Why This Score

ATNI scores 11.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (16.6%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.57) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -28.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, ATNI would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score11.2
Fundamental Score36.3
ML Score36.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
64.5
6 Month
72.1
Primary
1 Year
75.9

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (1124.8%) — earnings quality concern
Speculative Classification
Speculative micro-cap — no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.8%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
60
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
19
Grade Flow volume, low dollar volume
Base
9.5
SHAP
+1.9
Factors
+1.1
Divergence
-1.3
Final
11.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)34.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)82.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)59.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.3% to +7.0%
Medium-term
+4.0% to +11.3%
Long-term
+6.0% to +15.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 36

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside-23.4%
Coverage6 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.8%
6M Momentum+0.7%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+2.1%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.97)
Relative Strength vs Sector+76.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.6)
Momentum Quality+0.541
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
32%
High risk — cheap + stagnating
Sector RevGr Rank
P13
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P73
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P50
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 56 relative to sector peers56/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 75th percentileP75
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.9pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (56.2) + 9% ML (73.1) + SHAP(+1.9) = 59.6—
Factor quality: +1.1pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 16.6%. Max drawdown 29% (-8.5 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -20.0 points ($0.4B market cap)-20.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.3pt (ML 19pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (1124.8%) — earnings quality concern; High leverage: D/E ratio of 1.6x — elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #59 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ATNI11.2N/A-4.3%-1.1%$428M
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy6 analysts
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 4Hold: 1
Price Target
$22consensus
Low $22Median $22High $22
-22.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

ATN International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services. It operates in three segments: International Telecom, US Telecom, and Renewable Energy. The International Telecom segment provides fixed data and voice; fixed, carrier, managed, and mobility services to customers in Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, Guyana, and the US Virgin Islands, as well as video services in Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, and the US Virgin Islands. This segment also offers mobile, data, and voice services to retail and business customers in Bermuda, Guyana, and US Virgin Islands under the One, GTT+, and Viya brands; roaming services; and handsets and accessories. The US Telecom segment provides carrier services, such as wholesale roaming services; fixed, mobility, carrier, and managed services to business and consumer; private network services to enterprise and consumer customers; and site maintenance services and international long-distance services, as well as leases critical network infrastructure, including towers and transport facilities. The Renewable Energy segment provides distributed generation solar power to commercial and industrial customers in India. As of December 31, 2021, it operated seven retail stores in the US Telecom segment and twenty-one retail stores in the International Telecom segment. The company was formerly known as Atlantic Tele-Network, Inc. and changed its name to ATN International, Inc. in June 2016. ATN International, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Beverly, Massachusetts.

CEO
Brad W. Martin
Employees
2,300
Beta
0.56
Industry
Telecommunications Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
73.4
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-4.3%
High: $29.8
From 52W Low
+107.3%
Low: $13.76
Moving Averages
10-Day
$28.20
Above
20-Day
$26.60
Above
50-Day
$24.10
Above
200-Day
$18.50
Above
60-Day Support
$20.5
60-Day Resistance
$29.8
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 93/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+54.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+8.74%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.15x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
75
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$183M$181M$179M$181M
Gross Profit$104M$102M$100M$103M
Operating Income$10M$233,000$3M$9M
Net Income$4M$-7M$-9M$4M
EPS (Diluted)$0.18$-0.56$-0.69$0.14
Gross Margin56.9%56.2%55.5%56.8%
Operating Margin5.4%0.1%1.5%4.8%
Net Margin2.4%-3.9%-5.0%2.0%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade F — 19/100Score impact: -48.5pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
1
54K avg/day
Dollar Vol
7
$2M/day
Float
16
10M shares
Mkt Cap
23
$428M
Range
100
117% spread
Composite Liquidity Score19/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$37.51$52.6533.6%Moderate
2022$32.07$50.4544.5%Wide
2023$27.53$50.2758.5%Wide
2024$16.04$39.5984.7%Wide
2025$13.76$23.7653.3%Wide
3-Year Range
114%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
65.1%
Outstanding Shares
15M
Bid-Ask Spread
117.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.