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TEM

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Tempus AI, Inc.

Conservative #1089Aggressive #470Moderate RiskHigh 100
$53.71-7.32%
Day High$57.74
Day Low$53.06
Volume10.5M
Mkt Cap$9.3B
52W Low $3652W High $104
Market Cap
$10.1B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
30.4%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-229.6%
Profit Margin
-18.4%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
2.63

Why This Score

TEM scores 30.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (100/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (15.6%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 2.63) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-7.1 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score30.8
Fundamental Score21.4
ML Score84.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
52.0
6 Month
58.2
Primary
1 Year
61.2

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
64
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
65
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
89
Grade A
Base
33.9
SHAP
+0.8
Factors
+1.1
Conviction
+2.1
Divergence
-7.1
Final
30.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)37.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)39.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.9% to +2.2%
Medium-term
-2.4% to +3.7%
Long-term
-3.0% to +5.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 84

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score64.6/100
Target Upside+58.4%
Coverage12 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score63.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+24.0%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.24)
Relative Strength vs Sector-31.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.5)
Momentum Quality-0.044
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P76
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P46
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 61 relative to sector peers61/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 61th percentileP61
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.3pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (61.0) + 9% ML (59.4) + SHAP(+1.3) = 62.1โ€”
Factor quality: +1.8pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 15.6%. Max drawdown 42% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -8% (-0.5 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($10.1B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.6pt (conviction=100)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: High leverage: D/E ratio of 2.6x โ€” elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #209 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TEM30.8N/A30.4%-18.4%$10.1B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy12 analysts
Buy: 7Hold: 5
Price Target
$87consensus
Low $59Median $90High $105
+61.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Tempus AI, Inc. operates as a healthcare technology company. It engages in providing next generation sequencing diagnostics, polymerase chain reaction profiling, molecular genotyping, and other anatomic and molecular pathology testing to healthcare providers, pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology companies, researchers, and other third parties. The company offers Insights, a license library of linked clinical, molecular, and imaging de-identified data, as well as a suite of analytical services to analytic and cloud-and-compute tools to pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies; and Trials that provides clinical trial matching services to pharmaceutical companies. In addition, it operates Next; Algos, a suite of algorithmic tests in oncology; Hub, a desktop and mobile platform for ordering, managing, and receiving tests and patient results; and Lens, a platform for researchers and scientists to find, access, and analyze Tempus data. The company has a strategic collaborations agreement with AstraZeneca and Pathos AI, Inc. to develop therapeutic programs in oncology. The company was formerly known as Tempus Labs, Inc. and changed its name to Tempus AI, Inc. in January 2023. Tempus AI, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

CEO
Eric Lefkofsky
Employees
2,400
Beta
5.23
Industry
Medical - Healthcare Information Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
50.3
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-48.5%
High: $104.32
From 52W Low
+48.3%
Low: $36.22
Moving Averages
10-Day
$55.20
Below
20-Day
$56.40
Below
50-Day
$62.20
Below
200-Day
$70.10
Below
60-Day Support
$49.4
60-Day Resistance
$78.78
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 17/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-23.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+4.98%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.11x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
26
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$367M$334M$315M$256M
Gross Profit$330M$206M$195M$155M
Operating Income$-62M$-60M$-62M$-69M
Net Income$-54M$-80M$-43M$-68M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.30$-0.46$-0.25$-0.40
Gross Margin89.7%61.6%62.0%60.7%
Operating Margin-17.0%-17.9%-19.6%-26.9%
Net Margin-14.8%-23.9%-13.6%-26.6%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 30.4%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 89/100Score impact: -37.0pt

Volume
100
5.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$310M/day
Float
60
0K shares
Mkt Cap
80
$10.1B
Range
100
188% spread
Composite Liquidity Score89/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2024$22.89$79.49110.6%Wide
2025$31.36$104.32107.5%Wide
3-Year Range
128%
Narrow Years
0 / 2
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
188.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.