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28

STKL

πŸ›’ Consumer Defensive

SunOpta Inc.

Conservative #1113Aggressive #521Moderate RiskML↑ 28pt
$6.48+1.25%
Day High$6.48
Day Low$6.40
Volume7.6M
Mkt Cap$767M
52W Low $352W High $7
Market Cap
$762M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
15.5%
Sector avg: 10.6%
Earnings Growth
90.3%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3.2%
Debt/Equity
2.20

Why This Score

STKL scores 28.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (21.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 2.20) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-1.2 points) applied. STKL's rank of #1113 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score28.5
Fundamental Score25.8
ML Score26.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
63.5
6 Month
71.0
Primary
1 Year
74.7

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality β€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected β€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-2029.1%) β€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.7%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
72
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
82
Grade A
Base
25.8
SHAP
+2.4
Factors
+0.9
Conviction
-0.6
Final
28.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

53AVG
Value50
Quality23
Growth85
Stability39
Investment70

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)37.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)56.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.1% to +4.2%
Medium-term
+0.8% to +7.4%
Long-term
+1.7% to +10.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs β†’ ML Score: 26

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.4/100
Target Upside+24.6%
Coverage19 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 β€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (1.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-6.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.1)
Momentum Quality+0.016
Momentum BreadthBroad βœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P84
Revenue growth vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector PE Rank
P55
Valuation vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector FCF Rank
P36
Free cash flow vs Consumer Defensive peers
Growth Deviation
+0.4Οƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 26 relative to sector peers26/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 26th percentileP26
Blended score: 80% fundamental (26) + 20% ML (26) = 25.825.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 40% β†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -0.6pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-2029.1%) β€” earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Defensive β€” Rank #50 of 55 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
STKL28.5N/A15.5%0.0%$762M
MNST84.446.34.9%20.1%$84.6B
COCO77.443.118.2%11.7%$3.3B
CALM76.73.583.2%27.4%$4.1B
LAUR76.325.85.5%18.9%$4.9B
WMT71.546.75.1%2.9%$1.0T
CCEP68.925.111.7%6.9%$49.7B
PSMT66.531.57.2%2.7%$4.8B
COST66.254.68.2%2.9%$441.9B
PEP65.127.62.3%8.8%$230.9B
COKE64.623.13.7%9.2%$16.7B
PRDO64.013.124.2%18.9%$2.2B
SFD63.811.3-3.4%5.5%$9.6B
OLLI62.531.48.0%8.8%$6.7B
FIZZ61.218.60.8%15.6%$3.5B
DLTR61.023.94.8%5.9%$25.7B
Sector Average51.133.110.6%-3.2%β€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy19 analysts
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 15Hold: 3
Price Target
$8consensus
Low $8Median $8High $8
+23.5% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

SunOpta Inc. manufactures and sells plant-based and fruit-based food and beverage products to retail customers, foodservice distributors, branded food companies, and food manufacturers worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Plant-Based Foods and Beverages, and Fruit-Based Foods and Beverages. The Plant-Based Foods and Beverages segment provides plant-based beverages, and liquid and dry ingredients that utilizes almond, soy, coconut, oat, hemp, and other bases, as well as broths, teas, and nutritional beverages. This segment also packages dry- and oil-roasted in-shell sunflower and sunflower kernels; and processes and sells raw sunflower inshell and kernel for food and feed applications. The Fruit-Based Foods and Beverages segment offers individually quick frozen (IQF) fruits, such as strawberries, blueberries, mangos, pineapples, blends, and other berries for retail; and IQF and bulk frozen fruits, including purΓ©es, toppings, and smoothies for foodservice, and custom fruit preparations for industrial use. This segment also provides fruit snacks comprising bars, twists, ropes, and bite-sized products. The company was formerly known as Stake Technology Ltd. and changed its name to SunOpta Inc. in October 2003. SunOpta Inc. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

CEO
Brian W. Kocher
Employees
1,248
Beta
1.12
Industry
Packaged Foods
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
62.5
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-9.5%
High: $7.16
From 52W Low
+95.2%
Low: $3.32
Moving Averages
10-Day
$6.40
Above
20-Day
$6.00
Above
50-Day
$4.90
Above
200-Day
$5.40
Above
60-Day Support
$3.51
60-Day Resistance
$6.48
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 β€” AdvancingScore: 74/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Transition signal: 1β†’2
Price vs 200 SMA
+20%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-2.71%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.11x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
15
Confidence: 50%

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$4.70
Stop Entry Now Target
$7.37
Entry Zone
$4.85 – $5.05
SMA50 pullback zone ($4.85–$5.05)
Exit Target
$7.16
52-week high / +22% target ($7.16)
Stop Level
$5.29
Below SMA200 ($5.29)

Stage 2 uptrend β€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only β€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$205M$191M$202M$194M
Gross Profit$28M$28M$30M$19M
Operating Income$7M$11M$10M$1M
Net Income$816,000$4M$5M$-10M
EPS (Diluted)$0.01$0.03$0.04$-0.08
Gross Margin13.6%14.8%15.0%9.9%
Operating Margin3.3%5.5%5.2%0.7%
Net Margin0.4%2.3%2.4%-5.0%

Why This Stock

Consumer DefensiveRevenue growth 15.5%Valuation below sector median (P/E 2229.7)

Tradability FilterGrade A β€” 82/100Score impact: -14.6pt

Volume
100
2.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
68
$14M/day
Float
100
110M shares
Mkt Cap
35
$762M
Range
100
125% spread
Composite Liquidity Score82/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$5.81$16.0093.4%Wide
2022$4.22$11.6793.8%Wide
2023$2.79$9.73110.9%Wide
2024$4.88$8.1149.7%Wide
2025$3.32$7.9081.6%Wide
3-Year Range
110.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
92.7%
Outstanding Shares
118M
Bid-Ask Spread
125.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.