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COKE

๐Ÿ›’ Consumer Defensive

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.

Conservative #267Aggressive #84Low RiskMLโ†‘ 22pt
$202.40+1.47%
Day High$203.61
Day Low$196.01
Volume0.7M
Mkt Cap$16.9B
52W Low $10552W High $205
Market Cap
$16.7B
P/E Ratio
23.1
Sector avg: 33.1
Rev Growth
3.7%
Sector avg: 10.6%
Earnings Growth
55.0%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Sector avg: -3.2%
Debt/Equity
1.35

Why This Score

COKE scores 64.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 44.7% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (15%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (95/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.35) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-3.5 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score64.6
Fundamental Score56.4
ML Score95.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
81.3
6 Month
90.9
Primary
1 Year
95.6

Quality Assessment

B
Quality Grade
Good quality โ€” solid metrics, minor concerns possible

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
44
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
87
Grade A
Base
64.1
SHAP
+2.6
Factors
+1.4
Divergence
-3.5
Final
64.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

66AVG
Value70
Quality70
Growth90
Stability60
Investment40

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)67.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)80.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)61.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+10.7% to +16.7%
Medium-term
+15.9% to +25.0%
Long-term
+23.7% to +36.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 95

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage1 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score44.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-23.5%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.39)
Relative Strength vs Sector+5.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.6)
Momentum Quality+0.125
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
23%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P36
Revenue growth vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector PE Rank
P45
Valuation vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector FCF Rank
P80
Free cash flow vs Consumer Defensive peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 56 relative to sector peers56/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 95th percentileP95
Blended score: 80% fundamental (56) + 20% ML (95) = 64.164.1
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 18% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade B
SHAP feature alignment: +2.6pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -3.5pt (ML 39pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Defensive โ€” Rank #10 of 55 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
COKE64.623.13.7%9.2%$16.7B
MNST84.446.34.9%20.1%$84.6B
COCO77.443.118.2%11.7%$3.3B
CALM76.73.583.2%27.4%$4.1B
LAUR76.325.85.5%18.9%$4.9B
WMT71.546.75.1%2.9%$1.0T
CCEP68.925.111.7%6.9%$49.7B
PSMT66.531.57.2%2.7%$4.8B
COST66.254.68.2%2.9%$441.9B
PEP65.127.62.3%8.8%$230.9B
PRDO64.013.124.2%18.9%$2.2B
SFD63.811.3-3.4%5.5%$9.6B
OLLI62.531.48.0%8.8%$6.7B
FIZZ61.218.60.8%15.6%$3.5B
DLTR61.023.94.8%5.9%$25.7B
PPC60.89.53.5%5.9%$9.7B
Sector Average51.133.110.6%-3.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes nonalcoholic beverages primarily products of The Coca-Cola Company in the United States. The company offers sparkling beverages, such as carbonated beverages; and still beverages, including energy products, as well as noncarbonated beverages comprising bottled water, ready to drink coffee and tea, enhanced water, juices, and sports drinks. It also sells its products to other Coca-Cola bottlers; and post-mix products that are dispensed through equipment, which mixes the fountain syrup with carbonated or still water enabling fountain retailers to sell finished products to consumers in cups or glasses. In addition, the company distributes products for various other beverage brands that include Dr Pepper and Monster Energy. It sells and distributes its products directly to grocery stores, mass merchandise stores, club stores, convenience stores, and drug stores; and restaurants, schools, amusement parks, and recreational facilities, as well as through vending machine outlets. The company was formerly known as Coca-Cola Bottling Co. Consolidated and changed its name to Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. in January 2019. Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

CEO
J. Frank Harrison
Employees
15,000
Beta
0.65
Industry
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
89.3
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-1.3%
High: $205
From 52W Low
+92.4%
Low: $105.21
Moving Averages
10-Day
$184.00
Above
20-Day
$169.90
Above
50-Day
$160.50
Above
200-Day
$133.70
Above
60-Day Support
$142.83
60-Day Resistance
$205
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 85/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+51.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+6.71%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.18x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
96
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone RSI overbought
$127.10
Stop Entry Now Target
$211.15
Entry Zone
$158.90 โ€“ $165.32
SMA50 pullback zone ($158.9โ€“$165.32)
Exit Target
$205.00
52-week high / +22% target ($205)
Stop Level
$131.03
Below SMA200 ($131.03)
Risk / Reward:1 : 1.38Tight

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.9B$1.9B$1.9B$1.6B
Gross Profit$728M$749M$742M$627M
Operating Income$246M$247M$272M$190M
Net Income$137M$142M$187M$104M
EPS (Diluted)$1.83$1.64$2.15$1.19
Gross Margin38.2%39.6%40.0%39.7%
Operating Margin12.9%13.1%14.7%12.0%
Net Margin7.2%7.5%10.1%6.6%

Why This Stock

Consumer DefensiveP/E ratio of 23.1Earnings quality grade AValuation below sector median (P/E 23.1)

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 87/100Score impact: -12.7pt

Volume
78
481K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$89M/day
Float
83
59M shares
Mkt Cap
83
$16.7B
Range
99
79% spread
Composite Liquidity Score87/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$25.21$63.0685.8%Wide
2022$40.50$65.6147.3%Wide
2023$47.00$96.1968.7%Wide
2024$80.08$137.6852.9%Wide
2025$105.21$169.4946.8%Wide
3-Year Range
113.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
70.1%
Outstanding Shares
84M
Bid-Ask Spread
79.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.