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71

WMT

๐Ÿ›’ Consumer Defensive

Walmart Inc.

Conservative #120Aggressive #105Low RiskMLโ†‘ 27pt
$127.95+2.84%
Day High$128.60
Day Low$125.14
Volume29.2M
Mkt Cap$1.0T
52W Low $8052W High $135
Market Cap
$1.0T
P/E Ratio
46.7
Sector avg: 33.1
Rev Growth
5.1%
Sector avg: 10.6%
Earnings Growth
25.3%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Sector avg: -3.2%
Debt/Equity
0.66

Why This Score

WMT scores 71.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 21.4% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (37%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
  • Large-cap ($1015B) with deep liquidity and institutional ownership.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (93/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 46.7x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Minor adjustments (-2.1 points) applied. WMT's rank of #120 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score71.5
Fundamental Score63.8
ML Score93.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
80.7
6 Month
90.2
Primary
1 Year
94.9

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
62
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
66
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
99
Grade A
Base
69.6
SHAP
+2.9
Factors
+1.1
Divergence
-2.1
Final
71.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

66AVG
Value55
Quality55
Growth75
Stability75
Investment70

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)52.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)92.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+6.8% to +12.3%
Medium-term
+11.2% to +19.5%
Long-term
+17.1% to +28.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 93

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.4/100
Target Upside+7.1%
Coverage64 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score61.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.4%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-1.6%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.96)
Relative Strength vs Sector+27.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.364
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P49
Revenue growth vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector PE Rank
P7
Valuation vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector FCF Rank
P45
Free cash flow vs Consumer Defensive peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 64 relative to sector peers64/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 93th percentileP93
Blended score: 80% fundamental (64) + 20% ML (93) = 69.669.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 2% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.9pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -2.1pt (ML 29pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Defensive โ€” Rank #5 of 55 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
WMT71.546.75.1%2.9%$1.0T
MNST84.446.34.9%20.1%$84.6B
COCO77.443.118.2%11.7%$3.3B
CALM76.73.583.2%27.4%$4.1B
LAUR76.325.85.5%18.9%$4.9B
CCEP68.925.111.7%6.9%$49.7B
PSMT66.531.57.2%2.7%$4.8B
COST66.254.68.2%2.9%$441.9B
PEP65.127.62.3%8.8%$230.9B
COKE64.623.13.7%9.2%$16.7B
PRDO64.013.124.2%18.9%$2.2B
SFD63.811.3-3.4%5.5%$9.6B
OLLI62.531.48.0%8.8%$6.7B
FIZZ61.218.60.8%15.6%$3.5B
DLTR61.023.94.8%5.9%$25.7B
PPC60.89.53.5%5.9%$9.7B
Sector Average51.133.110.6%-3.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail, wholesale, other units, and eCommerce worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. It operates supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores under Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands; membership-only warehouse clubs; ecommerce websites, such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, PhonePe and other sites; and mobile commerce applications. The company offers grocery and consumables, including dairy, meat, bakery, deli, produce, dry, chilled or frozen packaged foods, alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages, floral, snack foods, candy, other grocery items, health and beauty aids, paper goods, laundry and home care, baby care, pet supplies, and other consumable items; fuel, tobacco and other categories. It is also involved in the provision of health and wellness products covering pharmacy, optical and hearing services, and over-the-counter drugs and other medical products; and home and apparel including home improvement, outdoor living, gardening, furniture, apparel, jewelry, tools and power equipment, housewares, toys, seasonal items, mattresses and tire and battery centers. In addition, the company offers consumer electronics and accessories, software, video games, office supplies, appliances, and third-party gift cards. Further, it operates digital payment platforms; and offers financial services and related products, including money transfers, bill payments, money orders, check cashing, prepaid access, co-branded credit cards, installment lending, and earned wage access. Additionally, the company markets lines of merchandise under private brands, including Allswell, Athletic Works, Equate, and Free Assembly. The company was formerly known as Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. and changed its name to Walmart Inc. in February 2018. Walmart Inc. was founded in 1945 and is based in Bentonville, Arkansas.

CEO
John R. Furner
Employees
2,100,000
Beta
0.67
Industry
Specialty Retail
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
45.0
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5%
High: $134.69
From 52W Low
+60.3%
Low: $79.81
Moving Averages
10-Day
$126.80
Above
20-Day
$127.20
Above
50-Day
$120.10
Above
200-Day
$106.00
Above
60-Day Support
$109.81
60-Day Resistance
$134.69
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 56/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+20.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+8.2%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.87x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-17)Recent Gap Down

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$100.76
Stop Entry Now Target
$152.43
Entry Zone
$118.90 โ€“ $123.70
SMA50 pullback zone ($118.9โ€“$123.7)
Exit Target
$147.99
52-week high / +22% target ($147.99)
Stop Level
$103.88
Below SMA200 ($103.88)
Risk / Reward:1 : 1.53Tight

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2026Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$190.7B$179.5B$177.4B$165.6B
Gross Profit$47.0B$44.8B$44.6B$41.3B
Operating Income$8.7B$6.7B$7.3B$7.1B
Net Income$4.2B$6.1B$7.0B$4.5B
EPS (Diluted)$0.53$0.77$0.88$0.56
Gross Margin24.7%25.0%25.2%24.9%
Operating Margin4.6%3.7%4.1%4.3%
Net Margin2.2%3.4%4.0%2.7%

Why This Stock

Consumer DefensiveEarnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 99/100Score impact: -2.6pt

Volume
100
30.8M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$3.9B/day
Float
100
4.4B shares
Mkt Cap
100
$1.0T
Range
94
69% spread
Composite Liquidity Score99/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 12/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$42.09$50.8618.9%Narrow
2022$39.09$53.5931.3%Moderate
2023$45.36$56.6522.1%Narrow
2024$51.87$96.1859.9%Wide
2025$79.81$117.4538.2%Wide
3-Year Range
88.6%
Narrow Years
2 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
54.8%
Outstanding Shares
8.0B
Bid-Ask Spread
69.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.