Costco Wholesale Corporation
COST scores 66.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Minor adjustments (-3.0 points) applied. COST's rank of #220 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
No risk factors identified.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COST | 66.2 | 54.6 | 8.2% | 2.9% | $441.9B |
| MNST | 84.4 | 46.3 | 4.9% | 20.1% | $84.6B |
| COCO | 77.4 | 43.1 | 18.2% | 11.7% | $3.3B |
| CALM | 76.7 | 3.5 | 83.2% | 27.4% | $4.1B |
| LAUR | 76.3 | 25.8 | 5.5% | 18.9% | $4.9B |
| WMT | 71.5 | 46.7 | 5.1% | 2.9% | $1.0T |
| CCEP | 68.9 | 25.1 | 11.7% | 6.9% | $49.7B |
| PSMT | 66.5 | 31.5 | 7.2% | 2.7% | $4.8B |
| PEP | 65.1 | 27.6 | 2.3% | 8.8% | $230.9B |
| COKE | 64.6 | 23.1 | 3.7% | 9.2% | $16.7B |
| PRDO | 64.0 | 13.1 | 24.2% | 18.9% | $2.2B |
| SFD | 63.8 | 11.3 | -3.4% | 5.5% | $9.6B |
| OLLI | 62.5 | 31.4 | 8.0% | 8.8% | $6.7B |
| FIZZ | 61.2 | 18.6 | 0.8% | 15.6% | $3.5B |
| DLTR | 61.0 | 23.9 | 4.8% | 5.9% | $25.7B |
| PPC | 60.8 | 9.5 | 3.5% | 5.9% | $9.7B |
| Sector Average | 51.1 | 33.1 | 10.6% | -3.2% | โ |
Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Japan, Korea, Australia, Spain, France, Iceland, China, and Taiwan. It offers branded and private-label products in a range of merchandise categories. The company offers sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, liquor, and tobacco and deli products; appliances, electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, garden and patio products, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal products, office supplies, automotive care products, postages, tickets, apparel, small appliances, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and meat, produce, service deli, and bakery products. It also operates pharmacies, opticals, food courts, hearing-aid centers, and tire installation centers, as well as 636 gas stations; and offers business delivery, travel, same-day grocery, and various other services online in various countries. As of August 29, 2021, the company operated 815 membership warehouses, including 564 in the United States and Puerto Rico, 105 in Canada, 39 in Mexico, 30 in Japan, 29 in the United Kingdom, 16 in South Korea, 14 in Taiwan, 12 in Australia, 3 in Spain, 1 in Iceland, 1 in France, and 1 in China. It also operates e-commerce websites in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, and Australia. The company was formerly known as Costco Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Costco Wholesale Corporation in August 1999. Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Issaquah, Washington.
Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.
Stage 3 distribution โ institutional selling pressure is building. Avoid new positions. If already holding, consider reducing and tightening stops below SMA50.
| Metric | Q1 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $67.3B | $86.2B | $63.2B | $63.7B |
| Gross Profit | $8.8B | $11.1B | $8.2B | $8.0B |
| Operating Income | $2.5B | $3.3B | $2.5B | $2.3B |
| Net Income | $2.0B | $2.6B | $1.9B | $1.8B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $4.50 | $5.87 | $4.28 | $4.02 |
| Gross Margin | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% |
| Operating Margin | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Net Margin | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $307.00 | $571.49 | 60.2% | Wide |
| 2022 | $406.51 | $612.27 | 40.4% | Wide |
| 2023 | $447.90 | $681.91 | 41.4% | Wide |
| 2024 | $640.51 | $1008.25 | 44.6% | Wide |
| 2025 | $844.06 | $1078.23 | 24.4% | Narrow |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.