Dollar Tree, Inc.
DLTR scores 61.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. DLTR's rank of #330 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
No risk factors identified.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DLTR | 61.0 | 23.9 | 4.8% | 5.9% | $25.7B |
| MNST | 84.4 | 46.3 | 4.9% | 20.1% | $84.6B |
| COCO | 77.4 | 43.1 | 18.2% | 11.7% | $3.3B |
| CALM | 76.7 | 3.5 | 83.2% | 27.4% | $4.1B |
| LAUR | 76.3 | 25.8 | 5.5% | 18.9% | $4.9B |
| WMT | 71.5 | 46.7 | 5.1% | 2.9% | $1.0T |
| CCEP | 68.9 | 25.1 | 11.7% | 6.9% | $49.7B |
| PSMT | 66.5 | 31.5 | 7.2% | 2.7% | $4.8B |
| COST | 66.2 | 54.6 | 8.2% | 2.9% | $441.9B |
| PEP | 65.1 | 27.6 | 2.3% | 8.8% | $230.9B |
| COKE | 64.6 | 23.1 | 3.7% | 9.2% | $16.7B |
| PRDO | 64.0 | 13.1 | 24.2% | 18.9% | $2.2B |
| SFD | 63.8 | 11.3 | -3.4% | 5.5% | $9.6B |
| OLLI | 62.5 | 31.4 | 8.0% | 8.8% | $6.7B |
| FIZZ | 61.2 | 18.6 | 0.8% | 15.6% | $3.5B |
| PPC | 60.8 | 9.5 | 3.5% | 5.9% | $9.7B |
| Sector Average | 51.1 | 33.1 | 10.6% | -3.2% | β |
Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety retail stores. It operates in two segments, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment offers merchandise at the fixed price of $ 1.25. It provides consumable merchandise, including candy and food, and health and personal care, as well as everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise comprising toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods that include Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. As of January 29, 2022, this segment operated 8,061 stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, as well as 15 distribution centers in the United States and 2 distribution centers in Canada. The Family Dollar segment operates general merchandise retail discount stores that offer consumable merchandise, which comprise food and beverages, tobacco, health and personal care, household chemicals, paper products, hardware and automotive supplies, diapers, batteries, and pet food and supplies; and home products, including housewares, home dΓ©cor, and giftware, as well as domestics, such as comforters, sheets, and towels. It also provides apparel and accessories merchandise comprising clothing, fashion accessories, and shoes; and seasonal and electronics merchandise that include Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise, as well as personal electronics, which comprise pre-paid cellular phones and services, stationery and school supplies, and toys. As of January 29, 2022, this segment operated 8,016 stores under the Family Dollar brand; and 11 distribution centers. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.
Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.
Stage 2 uptrend β institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.
| Metric | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.8B | $4.6B | $4.6B | $5.0B |
| Gross Profit | $1.7B | $1.6B | $1.7B | $1.9B |
| Operating Income | $320M | $223M | $384M | $534M |
| Net Income | $245M | $188M | $343M | $-3.7B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.20 | $0.91 | $1.61 | $-17.17 |
| Gross Margin | 35.9% | 34.4% | 35.6% | 37.7% |
| Operating Margin | 6.7% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% |
| Net Margin | 5.1% | 4.1% | 7.4% | -73.9% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $84.26 | $149.37 | 55.7% | Wide |
| 2022 | $123.62 | $177.19 | 35.6% | Wide |
| 2023 | $102.77 | $161.10 | 44.2% | Wide |
| 2024 | $60.49 | $151.22 | 85.7% | Wide |
| 2025 | $61.80 | $132.48 | 72.8% | Wide |
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.