Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings
OLLI scores 62.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Moderate penalties (-3.4 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
No risk factors identified.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLLI | 62.5 | 31.4 | 8.0% | 8.8% | $6.7B |
| MNST | 84.4 | 46.3 | 4.9% | 20.1% | $84.6B |
| COCO | 77.4 | 43.1 | 18.2% | 11.7% | $3.3B |
| CALM | 76.7 | 3.5 | 83.2% | 27.4% | $4.1B |
| LAUR | 76.3 | 25.8 | 5.5% | 18.9% | $4.9B |
| WMT | 71.5 | 46.7 | 5.1% | 2.9% | $1.0T |
| CCEP | 68.9 | 25.1 | 11.7% | 6.9% | $49.7B |
| PSMT | 66.5 | 31.5 | 7.2% | 2.7% | $4.8B |
| COST | 66.2 | 54.6 | 8.2% | 2.9% | $441.9B |
| PEP | 65.1 | 27.6 | 2.3% | 8.8% | $230.9B |
| COKE | 64.6 | 23.1 | 3.7% | 9.2% | $16.7B |
| PRDO | 64.0 | 13.1 | 24.2% | 18.9% | $2.2B |
| SFD | 63.8 | 11.3 | -3.4% | 5.5% | $9.6B |
| FIZZ | 61.2 | 18.6 | 0.8% | 15.6% | $3.5B |
| DLTR | 61.0 | 23.9 | 4.8% | 5.9% | $25.7B |
| PPC | 60.8 | 9.5 | 3.5% | 5.9% | $9.7B |
| Sector Average | 51.1 | 33.1 | 10.6% | -3.2% | โ |
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise. The company offers housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics; and other products, including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn, and garden products. It provides its products primarily under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands Real Cheap!, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, Steelton Tools, American Way, and Middleton Home names. As of August 3, 2022, it operated 450 stores in 29 states throughout half of the United States. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.
Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.
Stage 1 base-building โ stock is consolidating above long-term support. Entry near SMA200 offers a defined risk level. Wait for volume confirmation before sizing up.
| Metric | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $614M | $680M | $577M | $667M |
| Gross Profit | $243M | $271M | $237M | $272M |
| Operating Income | $63M | $77M | $56M | $88M |
| Net Income | $46M | $61M | $48M | $69M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.75 | $0.99 | $0.77 | $1.11 |
| Gross Margin | 39.6% | 39.9% | 41.1% | 40.7% |
| Operating Margin | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% |
| Net Margin | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $45.55 | $98.58 | 73.6% | Wide |
| 2022 | $37.67 | $72.27 | 62.9% | Wide |
| 2023 | $46.25 | $83.19 | 57.1% | Wide |
| 2024 | $68.05 | $120.03 | 55.3% | Wide |
| 2025 | $94.88 | $141.74 | 39.6% | Wide |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.