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SENEA

๐Ÿ›’ Consumer Defensive

Seneca Foods Corporation

Conservative #738Aggressive #1194Low Risk
$138.98-0.77%
Day High$145.63
Day Low$136.51
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$956M
52W Low $8152W High $146
Market Cap
$902M
P/E Ratio
10.0
Sector avg: 33.1
Rev Growth
8.2%
Sector avg: 10.6%
Earnings Growth
-34.9%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Sector avg: -3.2%
Debt/Equity
0.39

Why This Score

SENEA scores 45.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 10.0x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (5.9% annualized) โ€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • High conviction (90/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Net penalties of -16.1 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, SENEA would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score45.9
Fundamental Score62.6
ML Score40.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
76.9
6 Month
85.9
Primary
1 Year
90.5

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
31
Grade Dlow volume, low float
Base
43.0
SHAP
+1.9
Factors
+0.9
Conviction
+1.2
Divergence
-1.1
Final
45.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

66AVG
Value86
Quality44
Growth28
Stability87
Investment86

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)49.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)87.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)64.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+10.2% to +16.2%
Medium-term
+15.3% to +24.3%
Long-term
+22.9% to +35.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 40

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.6%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+44.5%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.22)
Relative Strength vs Sector+47.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.524
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
27%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P67
Revenue growth vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector PE Rank
P91
Valuation vs Consumer Defensive peers
Sector FCF Rank
P91
Free cash flow vs Consumer Defensive peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 63 relative to sector peers63/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 40th percentileP40
Blended score: 80% fundamental (63) + 20% ML (40) = 58.158.1
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 9% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +1.9pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.2pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -1.1pt (ML 23pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Defensive โ€” Rank #43 of 55 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SENEA45.910.08.2%5.6%$902M
MNST84.446.34.9%20.1%$84.6B
COCO77.443.118.2%11.7%$3.3B
CALM76.73.583.2%27.4%$4.1B
LAUR76.325.85.5%18.9%$4.9B
WMT71.546.75.1%2.9%$1.0T
CCEP68.925.111.7%6.9%$49.7B
PSMT66.531.57.2%2.7%$4.8B
COST66.254.68.2%2.9%$441.9B
PEP65.127.62.3%8.8%$230.9B
COKE64.623.13.7%9.2%$16.7B
PRDO64.013.124.2%18.9%$2.2B
SFD63.811.3-3.4%5.5%$9.6B
OLLI62.531.48.0%8.8%$6.7B
FIZZ61.218.60.8%15.6%$3.5B
DLTR61.023.94.8%5.9%$25.7B
Sector Average51.133.110.6%-3.2%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Seneca Foods Corporation provides packaged fruits and vegetables in the United States and internationally. The company offers canned, frozen, and bottled produce; jarred fruit; and snack chips and other food products under the private label, as well as under various national and regional brands that the company owns or licenses, including Seneca, Libby's, Aunt Nellie's, Cherryman, Green Valley, and READ. It also packs canned and frozen vegetables under contract packing agreements. In addition, the company engages in the sale of cans and ends, as well as trucking and aircraft operations. It provides its products to grocery outlets, including supermarkets, mass merchandisers, limited assortment stores, club stores, and dollar stores; and food service distributors, restaurant chains, industrial markets, other food packagers, and export customers in 90 countries, as well as federal, state, and local governments for school and other feeding programs. The company was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Marion, New York.

CEO
Paul L. Palmby
Employees
2,800
Beta
0.05
Industry
Packaged Foods
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
83.1
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-4.9%
High: $146.12
From 52W Low
+73.7%
Low: $80
Moving Averages
10-Day
$132.20
Above
20-Day
$126.40
Above
50-Day
$118.60
Above
200-Day
$109.30
Above
60-Day Support
$105.05
60-Day Resistance
$146.12
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 73/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+27.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+9.59%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.04x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-27)

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone RSI overbought
$103.90
Stop Entry Now Target
$150.52
Entry Zone
$117.41 โ€“ $122.16
SMA50 pullback zone ($117.41โ€“$122.16)
Exit Target
$146.14
52-week high / +22% target ($146.14)
Stop Level
$107.11
Below SMA200 ($107.11)
Risk / Reward:1 : 2.08Acceptable

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$508M$460M$297M$346M
Gross Profit$83M$62M$42M$16M
Operating Income$60M$41M$23M$2M
Net Income$45M$30M$15M$601,000
EPS (Diluted)$6.48$4.29$2.14$0.09
Gross Margin16.4%13.4%14.1%4.5%
Operating Margin11.8%9.0%7.8%0.6%
Net Margin8.8%6.5%5.0%0.2%

Why This Stock

Consumer DefensiveP/E ratio of 10.0Valuation below sector median (P/E 10.0)

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 31/100Score impact: -12.8pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
4
63K avg/day
Dollar Vol
57
$8M/day
Float
3
6M shares
Mkt Cap
38
$902M
Range
94
69% spread
Composite Liquidity Score31/100
FDCBA
low volumelow float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$41.54$62.3740.1%Wide
2022$44.19$68.7443.5%Wide
2023$32.50$65.6567.5%Wide
2024$43.89$81.3959.9%Wide
2025$70.58$129.0358.6%Wide
3-Year Range
119.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
86.7%
Outstanding Shares
7M
Bid-Ask Spread
69.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.