Back to Dashboard
44

SNDK

💻 Technology

Sandisk Corporation

Conservative #734Aggressive #577Low RiskModerate 66ML↑ 17pt
$632.38-0.96%
Day High$661.20
Day Low$624.43
Volume17.5M
Mkt Cap$93.3B
52W Low $2852W High $725
Market Cap
$92.5B
P/E Ratio
7.7
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
10.4%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-144.2%
Profit Margin
-22.3%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.22

Why This Score

SNDK scores 44.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 7.7x earnings, below the market average.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-7.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score44.2
Fundamental Score40.5
ML Score82.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
49.6
6 Month
55.4
Primary
1 Year
58.4

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
46
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
70
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
100
Grade A
Base
48.8
SHAP
-1.6
Factors
+1.0
Divergence
-4.0
Final
44.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

68AVG
Value95
Quality40
Growth35
Stability90
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)41.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)62.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)54.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.0% to +1.1%
Medium-term
-4.1% to +2.1%
Long-term
-5.1% to +3.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 82

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score69.6/100
Target Upside-1.0%
Coverage14 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score46.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-3.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
7%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P50
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P75
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P18
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 41 relative to sector peers41/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 58th percentileP58
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: -1.6pt (features diverge from model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (41.3) + 9% ML (58.3) + SHAP(-1.6) = 41.3—
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 20.0%Low
Market cap adjustment: +3.5 points ($92.5B market cap)+3.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.0pt (ML 17pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #165 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SNDK44.27.710.4%-22.3%$92.5B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy14 analysts
Buy: 11Hold: 3
Price Target
$675consensus
Low $220Median $700High $1000
+6.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

SanDisk Corp. engages in the development, manufacture, and provision of storage devices and solutions on NAND flash technology. Its products include solid state drives. embedded products, removable cards, universal series bus, and wafers and components. The company was founded on June 1, 1988 and is headquartered in Milipitas, CA.

CEO
David V. Goeckeler
Employees
12,000
Beta
4.80
Industry
Hardware, Equipment & Parts
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
57.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-12.8%
High: $725
From 52W Low
+2167.4%
Low: $27.89
Moving Averages
10-Day
$625.60
Above
20-Day
$607.20
Above
50-Day
$439.40
Above
200-Day
$185.00
Above
60-Day Support
$187.7
60-Day Resistance
$725
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 — ToppingScore: 48/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+241.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
0%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
1.29x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
59
Confidence: 70%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2026Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$3.0B$2.3B$1.9B$1.7B
Gross Profit$1.5B$687M$498M$382M
Operating Income$1.1B$176M$18M$-1.9B
Net Income$803M$112M$-23M$-1.9B
EPS (Diluted)$5.15$0.75$-0.16$-13.33
Gross Margin50.9%29.8%26.2%22.5%
Operating Margin35.2%7.6%0.9%-111.0%
Net Margin26.5%4.9%-1.2%-114.0%

Why This Stock

TechnologyP/E ratio of 7.7Revenue growth 10.4%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 100/100Score impact: -17.4pt

Volume
100
15.5M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$10.3B/day
Float
100
139M shares
Mkt Cap
100
$92.5B
Range
100
2500% spread
Composite Liquidity Score100/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
94.2%
Outstanding Shares
148M
Bid-Ask Spread
2500.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.