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RUM

๐Ÿ’ป Technology

Rumble Inc.

Conservative #1283Aggressive #1377Moderate RiskHigh 81
$5.76+0.70%
Day High$5.84
Day Low$5.66
Volume1.0M
Mkt Cap$2.5B
52W Low $552W High $11
Market Cap
$2.6B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
17.9%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-190.6%
Profit Margin
-275.5%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

RUM scores 21.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (81/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (10.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -10.4 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, RUM would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score21.9
Fundamental Score31.0
ML Score8.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
24.3
6 Month
27.1
Primary
1 Year
28.6

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
53
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
58
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
86
Grade A
Base
26.4
SHAP
-4.5
Factors
-0.1
Conviction
+1.3
Divergence
-1.2
Final
21.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)48.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)40.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)78.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-18.9% to -12.1%
Medium-term
-25.6% to -15.7%
Long-term
-32.2% to -19.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 8

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score58.3/100
Target Upside+101.2%
Coverage3 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score53.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.4%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-17.8%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.51)
Relative Strength vs Sector-39.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.5)
Momentum Quality-0.228
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P69
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P78
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P7
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 40 relative to sector peers40/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 38th percentileP38
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: -4.5pt (features diverge from model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (40.3) + 9% ML (37.3) + SHAP(-4.5) = 35.5โ€”
Factor quality: -0.1pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 10.2%. Max drawdown 37% (-11.5 pts). Price momentum -36% (-6.2 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.6B market cap)-4.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +1.3pt (conviction=81)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -18 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (-111.2%) exceeds net margin (-275.5%) by 164pp โ€” possible write-down; High accrual ratio (81.3%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology โ€” Rank #271 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
RUM21.9N/A17.9%-275.5%$2.6B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold3 analysts
Buy: 1Hold: 2
Price Target
$12consensus
Low $8Median $12High $15
+99.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Rumble Inc. operates video sharing platforms. The company operates rumble.com, a platform that enables video creators to host, livestream, manage, distribute, and create OTT feeds, as well as monetize their content. It also operates locals.com, a subscription-based video sharing platform. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Longboat Key, Florida.

CEO
Christopher Pavlovski
Employees
135
Beta
0.70
Industry
Software - Application
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
50.7
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-47.6%
High: $10.99
From 52W Low
+12.7%
Low: $5.11
Moving Averages
10-Day
$5.80
Below
20-Day
$5.80
Below
50-Day
$6.20
Below
200-Day
$7.50
Below
60-Day Support
$5.3
60-Day Resistance
$7.89
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 12/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-23.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-7.15%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.88x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$25M$25M$24M$30M
Gross Profit$-4M$-1M$-6M$-4M
Operating Income$-28M$-27M$-36M$-24M
Net Income$-16M$-30M$-3M$-237M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.06$-0.12$-0.01$-1.15
Gross Margin-17.5%-5.8%-26.7%-14.2%
Operating Margin-113.6%-106.2%-153.5%-80.1%
Net Margin-65.7%-120.5%-11.2%-783.2%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 17.9%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 86/100Score impact: -12.5pt

Volume
100
2.5M avg/day
Dollar Vol
67
$14M/day
Float
100
300M shares
Mkt Cap
61
$2.6B
Range
100
115% spread
Composite Liquidity Score86/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$9.63$15.4846.6%Wide
2022$5.81$18.52104.5%Wide
2023$4.33$11.2588.8%Wide
2024$3.33$17.40135.7%Wide
2025$5.11$14.2794.5%Wide
3-Year Range
135.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
69.0%
Outstanding Shares
434M
Bid-Ask Spread
115.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.