Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.
ALRM scores 53.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. ALRM's rank of #472 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
No risk factors identified.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALRM | 53.5 | 17.1 | 7.6% | 13.1% | $2.3B |
| MPWR | 84.8 | 91.7 | 21.2% | 81.0% | $57.1B |
| ZM | 84.2 | 18.0 | 3.1% | 21.7% | $27.7B |
| NVDA | 80.6 | 45.2 | 114.2% | 55.8% | $4.5T |
| CRUS | 79.7 | 19.1 | 6.0% | 17.5% | $7.4B |
| ASML | 77.8 | 48.1 | 15.6% | 29.4% | $546.0B |
| IDCC | 77.4 | 31.8 | -4.0% | 48.8% | $9.7B |
| CSCO | 77.1 | 27.6 | 5.3% | 18.0% | $303.6B |
| RMBS | 75.5 | 48.3 | 20.7% | 32.3% | $11.0B |
| DBX | 75.3 | 13.9 | 1.9% | 17.7% | $6.4B |
| FSLR | 75.0 | 17.3 | 26.7% | 30.7% | $24.2B |
| SIMO | 74.7 | 9.2 | 10.2% | 13.8% | $4.5B |
| ADI | 74.3 | 74.1 | 16.9% | 20.6% | $165.1B |
| AAPL | 72.5 | 33.1 | 6.4% | 27.0% | $3.9T |
| OLED | 72.5 | 27.0 | 12.4% | 34.3% | $5.9B |
| AMAT | 72.3 | 36.4 | 4.4% | 24.7% | $281.7B |
| Sector Average | 47.4 | 87.8 | 14.8% | -110.0% | — |
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based solutions for smart residential and commercial properties in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Alarm.com and Other. The company provides interactive security solutions to control and monitor their security systems, as well as connected security devices, including door locks, motion sensors, door locks, garage doors, Internet of Things, thermostats, and video cameras; and video monitoring solutions, such as video analytics, live streaming, video doorbell, video clips, video alerts, continuous high definition recording, and commercial video surveillance solutions. It also offers intelligent automation and energy management solutions comprising scenes button; smart thermostat schedules; responsive savings; precision comfort; energy usage monitoring; heating, ventilation, and air conditioning monitoring services; whole home water safety solutions; geo-services; and demand response programs. In addition, the company provides commercial solutions, such as daily safeguards, commercial grade video, energy savings, protection for valuables and inventory, temperature monitoring, multi-site management and access control, early identification, simple to use, professionally supported, and easy to maintain. Further, it offers service provider solutions, including a permission-based online portal that offers account management, sales, marketing, training, and support tools; sales, marketing, and training services; and home builder programs, as well as wellness solutions. The company serves residential and commercial subscribers. Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is based in Tysons, Virginia.
Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $262M | $256M | $254M | $239M |
| Gross Profit | $164M | $161M | $167M | $161M |
| Operating Income | $36M | $37M | $32M | $30M |
| Net Income | $35M | $35M | $35M | $28M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.66 | $0.65 | $0.63 | $0.52 |
| Gross Margin | 62.7% | 62.8% | 65.6% | 67.2% |
| Operating Margin | 13.9% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 12.4% |
| Net Margin | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $73.61 | $95.83 | 26.2% | Moderate |
| 2022 | $46.94 | $85.37 | 58.1% | Wide |
| 2023 | $44.92 | $67.02 | 39.5% | Wide |
| 2024 | $51.87 | $77.29 | 39.4% | Wide |
| 2025 | $46.65 | $64.26 | 31.8% | Moderate |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.