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PLTR

๐Ÿ’ป Technology

Palantir Technologies Inc.

Conservative #431Aggressive #347Moderate RiskHigh 81
$134.19+4.15%
Day High$136.09
Day Low$129.18
Volume52.7M
Mkt Cap$307.5B
52W Low $6652W High $208
Market Cap
$313.2B
P/E Ratio
208.6
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
28.8%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
120.3%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.05

Why This Score

PLTR scores 54.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.05) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Large-cap ($313B) with deep liquidity and institutional ownership.
  • High conviction (81/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Elevated valuation at 208.6x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (15.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. PLTR's rank of #431 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score54.9
Fundamental Score53.2
ML Score42.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
46.7
6 Month
52.1
Primary
1 Year
54.9

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
79
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
53
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
96
Grade A
Base
50.9
SHAP
+2.1
Factors
+0.7
Conviction
+1.2
Final
54.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

67AVG
Value40
Quality85
Growth90
Stability90
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)59.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)51.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.8% to +0.8%
Medium-term
-8.3% to +1.5%
Long-term
-10.9% to +2.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 42

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score53.1/100
Target Upside+52.8%
Coverage24 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score78.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+70.9%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.29)
Relative Strength vs Sector+51.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.6)
Momentum Quality+0.359
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P86
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P3
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P18
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.4ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 65 relative to sector peers65/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 55th percentileP55
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (64.9) + 9% ML (55.3) + SHAP(+2.4) = 66.5โ€”
Factor quality: +0.8pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 15.3%. Max drawdown 34% (-10.6 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +5.0 points ($313.2B market cap)+5.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +1.3pt (conviction=81)โ€”
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology โ€” Rank #97 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PLTR54.9208.628.8%16.1%$313.2B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold24 analysts
Buy: 7Hold: 13Sell: 4
Price Target
$199consensus
Low $180Median $199High $230
+48.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Palantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company provides Palantir Gotham, a software platform which enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants, as well as facilitates the handoff between analysts and operational users, helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. It also offers Palantir Foundry, a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place. In addition, it provides Palantir Apollo, a software that delivers software and updates across the business, as well as enables customers to deploy their software virtually in any environment; and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) that provides unified access to open-source, self-hosted, and commercial large language models (LLM) that can transform structured and unstructured data into LLM-understandable objects and can turn organizations' actions and processes into tools for humans and LLM-driven agents. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

CEO
Alexander C. Karp
Employees
4,001
Beta
1.69
Industry
Software - Infrastructure
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
45.1
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-35.3%
High: $207.52
From 52W Low
+102.9%
Low: $66.12
Moving Averages
10-Day
$132.80
Above
20-Day
$138.90
Below
50-Day
$162.90
Below
200-Day
$161.30
Below
60-Day Support
$126.23
60-Day Resistance
$198.88
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 27/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3โ†’4
Price vs 200 SMA
-16.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+14.94%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.13x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
20
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.4B$1.2B$1.0B$884M
Gross Profit$1.2B$974M$811M$711M
Operating Income$575M$393M$269M$176M
Net Income$609M$476M$327M$214M
EPS (Diluted)$0.24$0.19$0.13$0.08
Gross Margin84.6%82.4%80.8%80.4%
Operating Margin40.9%33.3%26.8%19.9%
Net Margin43.3%40.3%32.6%24.2%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 28.8%Profit margin 16.1%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 96/100Score impact: +8.6pt

Volume
100
44.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$5.8B/day
Float
80
0K shares
Mkt Cap
100
$313.2B
Range
100
214% spread
Composite Liquidity Score96/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$17.06$29.2952.8%Wide
2022$5.92$18.84104.4%Wide
2023$5.84$21.85115.6%Wide
2024$15.66$84.80137.6%Wide
2025$63.40$207.52106.4%Wide
3-Year Range
189.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
214.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.