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52

CRWD

💻 Technology

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

Conservative #508Aggressive #381Low RiskModerate 64ML↑ 18pt
$363.31+3.73%
Day High$365.92
Day Low$346.50
Volume5.5M
Mkt Cap$91.6B
52W Low $29852W High $567
Market Cap
$108.3B
P/E Ratio
88.8
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
29.4%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-121.6%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.24

Why This Score

CRWD scores 52.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (10%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • Large-cap ($108B) with deep liquidity and institutional ownership.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 88.8x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (10.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.2 points) applied. CRWD's rank of #508 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score52.1
Fundamental Score45.3
ML Score75.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
57.6
6 Month
64.3
Primary
1 Year
67.7

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
70
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
66
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
96
Grade A
Base
51.2
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+1.3
Divergence
-2.2
Final
52.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

47AVG
Value40
Quality40
Growth35
Stability90
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)32.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)70.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.6% to +3.7%
Medium-term
-0.1% to +6.5%
Long-term
+0.4% to +9.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 75

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.3/100
Target Upside+56.5%
Coverage63 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score70.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+8.9%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.14)
Relative Strength vs Sector+6.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.0)
Momentum Quality+0.081
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P87
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P11
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P27
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.4σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 49 relative to sector peers49/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 67th percentileP67
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (49.1) + 9% ML (67.2) + SHAP(+1.8) = 52.6—
Factor quality: +1.3pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 10.7%. Max drawdown 21% (-5.2 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +3.5 points ($108.3B market cap)+3.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.1pt (ML 18pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #117 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CRWD52.188.829.4%-0.5%$108.3B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy63 analysts
Buy: 43Hold: 18Sell: 2
Price Target
$537consensus
Low $353Median $544High $706
+47.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-delivered protection across endpoints and cloud workloads, identity, and data. It offers threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management. The company primarily sells subscriptions to its Falcon platform and cloud modules through its direct sales team that leverages its network of channel partners. It serves customers worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Austin, Texas.

CEO
George R. Kurtz
Employees
10,118
Beta
1.03
Industry
Software - Infrastructure
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
37.4
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-35.9%
High: $566.9
From 52W Low
+21.9%
Low: $298
Moving Averages
10-Day
$396.20
Below
20-Day
$409.30
Below
50-Day
$445.30
Below
200-Day
$470.20
Below
60-Day Support
$342.72
60-Day Resistance
$529.9
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 7/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-22.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+4.8%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.67x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
20
Confidence: 40%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$1.2B$1.2B$1.1B$1.1B
Gross Profit$933M$859M$814M$785M
Operating Income$-38M$-113M$-125M$-85M
Net Income$-34M$-78M$-110M$-92M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.14$-0.31$-0.44$-0.37
Gross Margin75.6%73.5%73.8%74.1%
Operating Margin-3.0%-9.7%-11.3%-8.1%
Net Margin-2.8%-6.6%-10.0%-8.7%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 29.4%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 96/100Score impact: -18.7pt

Volume
100
2.7M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$956M/day
Float
80
0K shares
Mkt Cap
100
$108.3B
Range
100
90% spread
Composite Liquidity Score96/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$168.67$298.4855.6%Wide
2022$98.70$242.0084.1%Wide
2023$92.25$261.8195.8%Wide
2024$200.81$398.3365.9%Wide
2025$298.00$566.9062.2%Wide
3-Year Range
144%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
90.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.