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PLBL

🛍️ Consumer Cyclical

Polibeli Group Ltd

Conservative #1405Aggressive #1477Moderate Risk
$7.79-5.00%
Day High$7.99
Day Low$7.40
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$2.9B
52W Low $652W High $13
Market Cap
$3.0B
P/E Ratio
187.0
Sector avg: 36.9
Rev Growth
32.6%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
-63.2%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

PLBL scores 4.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (86/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 187.0x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -34.4 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, PLBL would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score4.5
Fundamental Score43.0
ML Score0.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
21.2
6 Month
23.7
Primary
1 Year
25.0

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality — weak profitability or high leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
9.4
SHAP
-2.3
Factors
-0.3
Conviction
+1.9
Divergence
-4.2
Final
4.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

42AVG
Value34
Quality23
Growth50
Stability73
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)35.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-10.5% to -4.5%
Medium-term
-13.9% to -5.3%
Long-term
-17.3% to -6.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 0

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-1.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P95
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P2
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P12
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
+1.7σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 43 relative to sector peers43/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 0th percentileP0
Blended score: 80% fundamental (43) + 20% ML (0) = 34.434.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
Conviction adj: +1.9pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -4.2pt (ML 43pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical — Rank #113 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PLBL4.5187.032.6%0.0%$3.0B
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$91.3B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$30.9B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.6B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$78.4B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.0B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.1B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$10.0B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$40.2B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.1B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.7B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.3B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.1B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for PLBL.

Company Overviewvia FMP

Polibeli Group Ltd provides digital supply chain and distribution-sales services worldwide. It provides products procurement, channel distribution, warehousing and logistics services, brand operations, and digital marketing services to upstream and downstream business partners. The company also offers consumer electronic accessories, household appliances, skincare products, oral-care products, cosmetics products, toys and game products, health-care products, watches and accessories, and other products. In addition, it provides other services, such as brand operations and sales promotion services. Further, the company operates Polibeli Platform, including Polibeli App that offers a one-stop procurement solution to small and medium-sized retailers; and Polisales App, a mobile app that targets sales representatives. Additionally, it offers integrated digital supply chain services platform to retailers, suppliers, brand owners, and supply chain industry; and well as warehousing and logistics solutions. The company is based in Jakarta, Indonesia.

CEO
Hua Chen
Employees
154
Beta
-1.19
Industry
Department Stores
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
41.0
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-39.2%
High: $13.48
From 52W Low
+46.4%
Low: $5.6
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.10
Above
20-Day
$8.60
Below
50-Day
$9.90
Below
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$7.1
60-Day Resistance
$11.75

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
Insufficient technical data
Exit Target
Stop Level

Not enough price history to compute reliable entry and exit zones for this stock.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0
Operating Income$0$0
Net Income$167,989$346,598
EPS (Diluted)$0.01$0.03
Gross MarginN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalRevenue growth 32.6%

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -18.2pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
6K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$44K/day
Float
0
433M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$3.0B
Range
0
141% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volume

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
118.1%
Outstanding Shares
366M
Bid-Ask Spread
141.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.