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68

NXT

💻 Technology

Nextpower Inc.

Conservative #107Aggressive #22Moderate RiskMixed 56ML↑ 22pt
$116.51-3.38%
Day High$122.53
Day Low$116.27
Volume1.6M
Mkt Cap$17.3B
52W Low $3652W High $132
Market Cap
$17.5B
P/E Ratio
29.7
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
18.4%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
66.3%
Profit Margin
17.2%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

NXT scores 69.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 31.3% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (94/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (165%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (17.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-5.1 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score69.4
Fundamental Score64.7
ML Score94.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
74.4
6 Month
83.2
Primary
1 Year
87.5

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.7%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
65
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
71
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
67.5
SHAP
+2.7
Factors
+1.3
Divergence
-2.1
Final
69.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

72AVG
Value55
Quality85
Growth90
Stability90
Investment40

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)79.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)88.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)59.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+9.4% to +15.7%
Medium-term
+14.3% to +23.8%
Long-term
+21.5% to +34.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 94

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score71.2/100
Target Upside-3.8%
Coverage26 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score64.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.6%
6M Momentum+0.7%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+91.4%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.44)
Relative Strength vs Sector+160.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.416
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
6%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P70
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P41
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P49
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 89th percentileP89
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.7pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (66.9) + 9% ML (86.4) + SHAP(+3.7) = 72.4—
Factor quality: +1.7pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 17.1%. Max drawdown 14% (-2.4 pts)Moderate
Momentum mean-reversion: -4.2pt (165% 12m momentum)—
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($17.5B market cap)+2.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.7pt (ML 22pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #24 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
NXT69.429.718.4%17.2%$17.5B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy26 analysts
Buy: 22Hold: 4
Price Target
$113consensus
Low $74Median $115High $142
-3.4% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Nextracker Inc., an energy solutions company, provides solar tracker solutions for PV projects. The company offers solar trackers, such as Bifacial PV modules for large-scale solar; NX Horizon for solar power plants; NX Gemini two-in-portrait solar tracker that optimizes lifetime value and performance of power plants for project developers and asset owners; and NX Horizon XTR, an all-terrain solar tracker. It also provides TrueCapture, an intelligent and self-adjusting tracker control system for PV power plants; and NX Navigator, an operational control and risk mitigation software. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Fremont, California. Nextracker Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Flex Ltd.

CEO
Daniel S. Shugar
Employees
1,300
Beta
2.36
Industry
Consumer Electronics
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
49.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-11.5%
High: $131.59
From 52W Low
+223.1%
Low: $36.06
Moving Averages
10-Day
$118.70
Below
20-Day
$118.70
Below
50-Day
$103.60
Above
200-Day
$79.80
Above
60-Day Support
$83.5
60-Day Resistance
$131.59
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+46%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+27.97%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.89x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$909M$905M$864M$924M
Gross Profit$288M$293M$282M$306M
Operating Income$176M$181M$186M$195M
Net Income$131M$147M$157M$157M
EPS (Diluted)$0.85$0.97$1.04$1.05
Gross Margin31.7%32.4%32.6%33.1%
Operating Margin19.4%20.0%21.5%21.1%
Net Margin14.4%16.2%18.2%17.0%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 18.4%Profit margin 17.2%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A — 94/100Score impact: -12.5pt

Volume
100
1.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$227M/day
Float
80
0K shares
Mkt Cap
84
$17.5B
Range
100
265% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2023$28.24$49.8255.3%Wide
2024$30.93$62.3167.3%Wide
2025$36.06$112.74103.1%Wide
3-Year Range
119.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 3
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
265.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.