New Mountain Finance Corporation 8.250% Notes due 2028
NMFCZ scores 44.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Net penalties of -30.5 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, NMFCZ would rank considerably higher.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMFCZ | 44.8 | 12.2 | -3.6% | 18.0% | $2.6B |
| CME | 86.4 | 27.2 | 9.9% | 57.5% | $114.0B |
| FHB | 84.9 | 11.8 | 3.2% | 24.2% | $3.1B |
| ACT | 84.5 | 8.9 | 2.4% | 54.6% | $6.1B |
| CINF | 84.2 | 10.7 | 11.4% | 18.9% | $25.4B |
| SEIC | 82.2 | 14.0 | 10.7% | 27.3% | $9.9B |
| TROW | 79.9 | 10.1 | 3.1% | 28.5% | $20.5B |
| QQQX | 79.7 | 10.4 | 48.6% | 257.3% | $1.4B |
| IBOC | 78.2 | 10.6 | 7.5% | 40.1% | $4.2B |
| HWC | 77.8 | 12.2 | -1.5% | 24.1% | $5.6B |
| FFIN | 77.5 | 18.8 | 11.7% | 30.7% | $4.7B |
| TRMK | 77.1 | 11.9 | 34.8% | 19.3% | $2.6B |
| NMIH | 77.1 | 7.7 | 8.4% | 55.1% | $3.0B |
| EWBC | 76.7 | 12.7 | 4.6% | 28.3% | $15.3B |
| WSFS | 76.3 | 12.8 | -3.1% | 21.1% | $3.5B |
| MCHB | 76.1 | N/A | 123.7% | 23.2% | $3.1B |
| Sector Average | 47.5 | 26.8 | 13.4% | -2.8% | โ |
New Mountain Finance Corporation (Nasdaq: NMFC), a business development company is a private equity / buyouts and loan fund specializes in directly investing and lending to middle market companies in defensive growth industries. The fund prefers investing in buyout and middle market companies. It also makes investments in debt securities at all levels of the capital structure including first and second lien debt, unsecured notes and mezzanine securities. In some cases, its investments may also include equity interests. It targets energy, specialty chemicals and materials, trading companies and distributors, commercial printing, diversified support services, education services, environmental and facilities services, office services and supplies, media, distributors, health care services, health care facilities, application software, business services, systems software, federal services, distribution and logistics, interactive home entertainment, telecommunication services, hydroelectric power generation, electric power generation by fossil fuels, electric power generation by nuclear fuels, health care technology, and security and alarm services. The fund seeks to invest in United States of America. It seeks to invest between $10 million and $50 million per transaction. The firm invests through both primary originations and open-market secondary purchases. It invests in companies with EBITDA between $10 million and $200 million and target investments up to a $125 million hold size. The fund seeks a majority stake in its portfolio companies.
Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.
Stage 1 base-building โ stock is consolidating above long-term support. Entry near SMA200 offers a defined risk level. Wait for volume confirmation before sizing up.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $69M | $81M | $97M | $123M |
| Gross Profit | $56M | $67M | $8M | $25M |
| Operating Income | $3M | $44M | $8M | $24M |
| Net Income | $-27M | $12M | $8M | $23M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.26 | $0.11 | $0.07 | $0.22 |
| Gross Margin | 81.0% | 83.4% | 8.2% | 20.0% |
| Operating Margin | 4.4% | 54.9% | 8.2% | 19.0% |
| Net Margin | -38.8% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 19.0% |
This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ it is a practical tradability overlay).
This stock has traded in a compressed range for 2 of the last 2 years (3-year range: 5.2%). Range-bound stocks may indicate limited upside potential. A -5pt penalty has been applied.
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $24.95 | $26.29 | 5.2% | Narrow |
| 2025 | $25.01 | $26.06 | 4.1% | Narrow |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.