Back to Dashboard
45

NBN

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Northeast Bank

Conservative #764Aggressive #336Low RiskMLโ†‘ 37pt
$115.86+0.31%
Day High$116.00
Day Low$112.89
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$924M
52W Low $7852W High $126
Market Cap
$930M
P/E Ratio
11.1
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
34.7%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
43.3%
Profit Margin
24.5%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
1.00

Why This Score

NBN scores 44.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 17.3% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 24.5%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 11.1x earnings, below the market average.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (20%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.00) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -19.8 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, NBN would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score44.9
Fundamental Score55.4
ML Score70.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
70.4
6 Month
78.7
Primary
1 Year
82.9

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
38
Grade Dlow volume, low float
Base
43.3
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.0
Conviction
-2.4
Final
44.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

68AVG
Value83
Quality58
Growth100
Stability63
Investment34

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)82.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)73.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.6% to +7.5%
Medium-term
+4.8% to +12.4%
Long-term
+7.0% to +17.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 70

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside+18.1%
Coverage2 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score58.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+11.0%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.45)
Relative Strength vs Sector+11.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.1)
Momentum Quality+0.157
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P88
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P75
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P31
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.5ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 55 relative to sector peers55/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 70th percentileP70
Blended score: 80% fundamental (55) + 20% ML (70) = 58.358.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 22% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -2.4pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #219 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
NBN44.911.134.7%24.5%$930M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$112.1B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.2B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.8B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$10.1B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$21.1B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.4B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.8B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.1B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$16.0B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.6B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.3B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy2 analysts
Buy: 1Hold: 1
Price Target
$133consensus
Low $133Median $133High $133
+14.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Northeast Bank provides banking services to individual and corporate customers in Maine. The company's deposit products include demand deposit, NOW, money market, savings, certificate of deposit, and individual retirement accounts, as well as checking accounts. Its loan portfolio comprises residential mortgage loans; multi-family and other commercial real estate loans; commercial and industrial loans, such as term loans, lines of credit and equipment, and receivables financing; consumer loans comprising mobile home and overdraft, and deposit-secured loans; and small business administration loans. In addition, the company offers telephone banking, online banking and bill payment, mobile banking, cash management, and remote deposit capture services, as well as debit and credit card, ATM, electronic transfer, and check services. It operates a network of nine branches in Western, Central, and Southern Maine. Northeast Bank was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Portland, Maine.

CEO
Richard N. Wayne
Employees
194
Beta
0.58
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
35.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-8.2%
High: $126.26
From 52W Low
+48.2%
Low: $78.17
Moving Averages
10-Day
$116.90
Below
20-Day
$118.90
Below
50-Day
$112.90
Above
200-Day
$98.80
Above
60-Day Support
$87.93
60-Day Resistance
$126.26
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 75/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+17.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+5.92%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.88x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
55
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$87M$85M$98M$85M
Gross Profit$51M$50M$59M$47M
Operating Income$30M$31M$38M$30M
Net Income$21M$23M$25M$19M
EPS (Diluted)$2.47$2.67$3.00$2.23
Gross Margin58.5%59.1%60.2%55.6%
Operating Margin34.6%37.2%38.3%34.7%
Net Margin23.8%26.7%25.6%21.9%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 11.1Revenue growth 34.7%Profit margin 24.5%

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 38/100Score impact: -20.8pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
18
104K avg/day
Dollar Vol
64
$12M/day
Float
8
7M shares
Mkt Cap
38
$930M
Range
91
62% spread
Composite Liquidity Score38/100
FDCBA
low volumelow float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$25.50$38.3140.2%Wide
2022$33.09$48.5037.8%Wide
2023$33.15$59.0056.1%Wide
2024$49.07$105.4473%Wide
2025$78.17$113.0136.4%Wide
3-Year Range
109.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
93.0%
Outstanding Shares
8M
Bid-Ask Spread
62.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.