MGP Ingredients, Inc.
MGPI scores 39.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Moderate penalties (-5.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGPI | 39.5 | N/A | -15.9% | -2.6% | $552M |
| MNST | 84.4 | 46.3 | 4.9% | 20.1% | $84.6B |
| COCO | 77.4 | 43.1 | 18.2% | 11.7% | $3.3B |
| CALM | 76.7 | 3.5 | 83.2% | 27.4% | $4.1B |
| LAUR | 76.3 | 25.8 | 5.5% | 18.9% | $4.9B |
| WMT | 71.5 | 46.7 | 5.1% | 2.9% | $1.0T |
| CCEP | 68.9 | 25.1 | 11.7% | 6.9% | $49.7B |
| PSMT | 66.5 | 31.5 | 7.2% | 2.7% | $4.8B |
| COST | 66.2 | 54.6 | 8.2% | 2.9% | $441.9B |
| PEP | 65.1 | 27.6 | 2.3% | 8.8% | $230.9B |
| COKE | 64.6 | 23.1 | 3.7% | 9.2% | $16.7B |
| PRDO | 64.0 | 13.1 | 24.2% | 18.9% | $2.2B |
| SFD | 63.8 | 11.3 | -3.4% | 5.5% | $9.6B |
| OLLI | 62.5 | 31.4 | 8.0% | 8.8% | $6.7B |
| FIZZ | 61.2 | 18.6 | 0.8% | 15.6% | $3.5B |
| DLTR | 61.0 | 23.9 | 4.8% | 5.9% | $25.7B |
| Sector Average | 51.1 | 33.1 | 10.6% | -3.2% | โ |
MGP Ingredients, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies distilled spirits, branded spirits, and food ingredients. It operates through three segments: Distillery Products; Branded Spirits; and Ingredient Solutions. The Distillery Products segment provides food grade alcohol for beverage applications that include bourbon and rye whiskeys, as well as grain neutral spirits, including vodka and gin; and food-grade industrial alcohol, which is used as an ingredient in foods, personal care products, cleaning solutions, pharmaceuticals, and various other products. This segment also provides fuel-grade alcohol for blending with gasoline; distillers feed and related co-products, such as distillers feed and corn oil; and warehouse services, including barrel put away, storage, and retrieval services, as well as blending services. The Branded Spirits segment provides ultra-premium, premium, mid, and value branded distilled spirits. The Ingredient Solutions segment provides specialty wheat starches for food applications under the Fibersym, Resistant Starch, and FiberRite RW Resistant Starch names; specialty wheat proteins for food applications under the Arise and Proterra names; gluten-free textured pea proteins; commodity wheat starch for food and non-food applications; and commodity wheat proteins. The company sells its products directly or through distributors to manufacturers and processors of finished packaged goods or to bakeries primarily in the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, Thailand, Mexico, and Canada. MGP Ingredients, Inc. was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Atchison, Kansas.
Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.
Stage 4 downtrend โ price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $138M | $131M | $145M | $122M |
| Gross Profit | $48M | $49M | $58M | $43M |
| Operating Income | $-135M | $21M | $20M | $-747,000 |
| Net Income | $-135M | $15M | $14M | $-3M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-6.22 | $0.71 | $0.67 | $-0.14 |
| Gross Margin | 34.9% | 37.8% | 40.1% | 35.6% |
| Operating Margin | -97.7% | 16.1% | 14.0% | -0.6% |
| Net Margin | -97.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | -2.5% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $58.00 | $89.50 | 42.7% | Wide |
| 2022 | $73.02 | $125.74 | 53% | Wide |
| 2023 | $82.60 | $124.96 | 40.8% | Wide |
| 2024 | $38.24 | $101.69 | 90.7% | Wide |
| 2025 | $21.67 | $40.26 | 60% | Wide |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.