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45

LEGH

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Consumer Cyclical

Legacy Housing Corporation

Conservative #737Aggressive #1213Moderate Risk
$22.31+1.78%
Day High$22.39
Day Low$21.66
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$533M
52W Low $1952W High $29
Market Cap
$523M
P/E Ratio
10.9
Sector avg: 36.9
Rev Growth
-2.6%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
13.2%
Profit Margin
26.7%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

LEGH scores 45.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 26.7%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 10.9x earnings, below the market average.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (86/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (10.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -15.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, LEGH would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score45.9
Fundamental Score57.4
ML Score55.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
62.9
6 Month
70.3
Primary
1 Year
74.0

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
56
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
67
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
26
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
41.9
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+1.4
Final
45.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

63AVG
Value86
Quality58
Growth47
Stability73
Investment51

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)66.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)48.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.3% to +3.9%
Medium-term
-3.0% to +6.3%
Long-term
-3.8% to +8.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 55

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.7/100
Target Upside+39.1%
Coverage6 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score56.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+10.4%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.50)
Relative Strength vs Sector-11.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.0)
Momentum Quality-0.072
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
22%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P18
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P91
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P29
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
-0.4ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 57 relative to sector peers57/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 55th percentileP55
Blended score: 80% fundamental (57) + 20% ML (55) = 56.956.9
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 30% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.4pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical โ€” Rank #62 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
LEGH45.910.9-2.6%26.7%$523M
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$93.0B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$31.0B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.8B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$77.0B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.1B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.0B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$9.9B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$39.7B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.2B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.8B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.2B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.2B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Legacy Housing Corporation builds, sells, and finances manufactured homes and tiny houses primarily in the southern United States. The company manufactures and provides for the transport of mobile homes; and offers wholesale financing to dealers and mobile home parks, as well as a range of homes, including 1 to 5 bedrooms with 1 to 3 1/2 bathrooms. It also provides floor plan financing for independent retailers; consumer financing for its products; and financing to manufactured housing community owners that buy its products for use in their rental housing communities. In addition, it involved in financing and developing new manufactured home communities; and retail financing to consumers. The company markets its homes under the Legacy brand through a network of 176 independent and 13 company-owned retail locations, as well as direct sales to owners of manufactured home communities in 15 states in the United States. Legacy Housing Corporation was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Bedford, Texas.

CEO
Curtis Drew Hodgson
Employees
594
Beta
0.79
Industry
Residential Construction
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
60.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-24.2%
High: $29.45
From 52W Low
+18.4%
Low: $18.84
Moving Averages
10-Day
$21.80
Above
20-Day
$21.40
Above
50-Day
$21.00
Above
200-Day
$22.90
Below
60-Day Support
$19.02
60-Day Resistance
$23.17
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 22/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-2.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-5.22%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.87x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
99
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$40M$50M$36M$54M
Gross Profit$17M$24M$18M$21M
Operating Income$10M$17M$12M$16M
Net Income$9M$15M$10M$15M
EPS (Diluted)$0.35$0.60$0.41$0.60
Gross Margin41.8%47.0%51.8%39.3%
Operating Margin24.0%33.5%32.5%28.6%
Net Margin21.4%29.3%28.8%26.8%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalP/E ratio of 10.9Profit margin 26.7%Valuation below sector median (P/E 10.9)

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 26/100Score impact: -9.4pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
20
109K avg/day
Dollar Vol
17
$2M/day
Float
13
9M shares
Mkt Cap
30
$523M
Range
88
56% spread
Composite Liquidity Score26/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow float

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
36.7%
Outstanding Shares
24M
Bid-Ask Spread
56.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.