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LBRX

πŸ₯ Healthcare

LB Pharmaceuticals Inc Common Stock

Conservative #1328Aggressive #1377Moderate RiskF↑ 51pt
$24.23-3.62%
Day High$25.22
Day Low$23.40
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$613M
52W Low $1352W High $26
Market Cap
$600M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-905.6%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

LBRX scores 16.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -21.8 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, LBRX would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score16.1
Fundamental Score38.0
ML Score3.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
6.8
6 Month
7.6
Primary
1 Year
8.0

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality β€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected β€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.6B biotech/pharma β€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
64
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
55
Grade Clow float
Base
26.0
SHAP
-1.9
Factors
-0.2
Conviction
-4.8
Divergence
-3.0
Final
16.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

32AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth20
Stability73
Investment10

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)85.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-18.8% to -10.7%
Medium-term
-25.2% to -13.8%
Long-term
-31.6% to -17.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs β†’ ML Score: 3

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+40.2%
Coverage1 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score63.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 β€” Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-24.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P32
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0Οƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 38 relative to sector peers38/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 3th percentileP3
Blended score: 80% fundamental (38) + 20% ML (3) = 31.031.0
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered β€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
Conviction adj: -4.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -3.0pt (ML 35pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.6B biotech/pharma β€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare β€” Rank #305 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
LBRX16.1N/A0.0%0.0%$600M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%β€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy1 analysts
Buy: 1
Price Target
$33consensus
Low $31Median $34High $35
+37.6% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Clinical‑stage biopharmaceutical company developing novel therapies for neuropsychiatric diseases (e.g. schizophrenia, bipolar depression). Lead candidate is LB‑102, a methylated derivative of amisulpride.

CEO
Heather D. Turner
Employees
16
Beta
-8.80
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
53.2
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5.4%
High: $25.6
From 52W Low
+81.4%
Low: $13.36
Moving Averages
10-Day
$24.20
Above
20-Day
$23.50
Above
50-Day
$22.10
Above
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$16.32
60-Day Resistance
$25.6

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q3 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$-81,000$0$0$-5,000
Operating Income$-5M$-6M$-6M$-16M
Net Income$-4M$-5M$-5M$-14M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.14$-20.21$-20.21$-0.63
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade C β€” 55/100Score impact: -15.2pt

Volume
60
295K avg/day
Dollar Vol
54
$7M/day
Float
46
19M shares
Mkt Cap
32
$600M
Range
100
87% spread
Composite Liquidity Score55/100
FDCBA
low float

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
74.3%
Outstanding Shares
25M
Bid-Ask Spread
87.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.