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ISBA

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Isabella Bank Corporation

Conservative #710Aggressive #711Low RiskMixed 53MLโ†‘ 24pt
$49.41-1.02%
Day High$50.08
Day Low$48.67
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$362M
52W Low $2252W High $59
Market Cap
$385M
P/E Ratio
20.5
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
10.1%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
36.2%
Profit Margin
17.1%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.62

Why This Score

ISBA scores 46.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -25.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, ISBA would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score46.7
Fundamental Score66.9
ML Score71.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
48.9
6 Month
54.7
Primary
1 Year
57.6

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
61
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, low dollar volume
Base
42.7
SHAP
+3.4
Factors
+0.6
Final
46.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

64AVG
Value75
Quality41
Growth77
Stability82
Investment44

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)65.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)96.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)78.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.9% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-4.1% to +2.1%
Long-term
-5.3% to +2.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 71

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+8.3%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+1.1%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+58.5%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.48)
Relative Strength vs Sector+103.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.092
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P67
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P25
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P38
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 71th percentileP71
Blended score: 80% fundamental (67) + 20% ML (71) = 67.767.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 3% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #206 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ISBA46.720.510.1%17.1%$385M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$112.1B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.2B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.8B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$10.1B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$21.1B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.4B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.8B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.1B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$16.0B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.6B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.3B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold1 analysts
Hold: 1
Price Target
$54consensus
Low $54Median $54High $54
+9.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Isabella Bank Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Isabella Bank that provides various banking products and services to businesses, institutions, and individuals and their families. Its deposit products include checking accounts, savings accounts, certificates of deposit, direct deposits, and money market accounts. The company's loan portfolio comprises commercial, agricultural, and residential real estate loans, as well as consumer loans, including secured and unsecured personal loans. It also offers cash management, mobile and internet banking, electronic bill pay, automated teller machines, trust and investment, estate planning, and safe deposit box rental services; and group life, health, accident, disability, and other insurance products, as well as other employee benefit programs. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 30 banking offices in Clare, Gratiot, Isabella, Mecosta, Midland, Montcalm, and Saginaw counties. Isabella Bank Corporation was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Mount Pleasant, Michigan.

CEO
Jerome E. Schwind
Employees
368
Beta
0.13
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
47.5
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-16%
High: $58.83
From 52W Low
+129.8%
Low: $21.5
Moving Averages
10-Day
$51.10
Below
20-Day
$50.80
Below
50-Day
$50.80
Below
200-Day
$38.60
Above
60-Day Support
$39.88
60-Day Resistance
$58.83
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 89/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+28%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+25.11%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.63x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$31M$29M$26M$26M
Gross Profit$22M$20M$19M$18M
Operating Income$5M$6M$6M$5M
Net Income$5M$5M$5M$4M
EPS (Diluted)$0.64$0.71$0.68$0.53
Gross Margin71.4%68.8%73.4%68.8%
Operating Margin15.4%21.9%23.4%18.9%
Net Margin15.0%18.3%19.1%15.4%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 20.5Revenue growth 10.1%Profit margin 17.1%

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -7.7pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
25K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$1M/day
Float
0
7M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$385M
Range
0
174% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumelow dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$20.15$29.0036%Wide
2022$21.00$26.2522.2%Narrow
2023$19.13$26.0030.4%Moderate
2024$17.55$26.2339.7%Wide
2025$21.50$58.8392.9%Wide
3-Year Range
108.1%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
91.4%
Outstanding Shares
7M
Bid-Ask Spread
174.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.