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41

FNLC

🏦 Financial Services

The First Bancorp, Inc.

Conservative #857Aggressive #1040Low RiskMixed 46ML↑ 27pt
$28.58+0.92%
Day High$28.85
Day Low$28.27
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$321M
52W Low $2252W High $30
Market Cap
$323M
P/E Ratio
9.3
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
7.4%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
27.2%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.66

Why This Score

FNLC scores 41.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 9.3x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (4.8% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (18%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -27.7 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, FNLC would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score41.0
Fundamental Score64.3
ML Score66.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
80.9
6 Month
90.4
Primary
1 Year
95.2

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
45
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
37.0
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.9
Final
41.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

69AVG
Value87
Quality46
Growth68
Stability81
Investment61

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)69.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)80.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)61.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.1% to +8.0%
Medium-term
+5.4% to +12.7%
Long-term
+8.2% to +18.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 66

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score45.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+7.2%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.59)
Relative Strength vs Sector+8.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.7)
Momentum Quality+0.160
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
26%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P60
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P87
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P73
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 64 relative to sector peers64/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 66th percentileP66
Blended score: 80% fundamental (64) + 20% ML (66) = 64.664.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.0%; Drawdown 9% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #241 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
FNLC41.09.37.4%19.4%$323M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$112.1B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.2B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.8B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$10.1B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$21.1B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.4B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.8B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.1B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$16.0B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.6B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.3B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

The First Bancorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for First National Bank that provides a range of banking products and services to individuals and businesses. It offers various deposit products, including demand, NOW, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit accounts. The company also provides commercial real estate loan products, such as mortgage loans to finance investments in real property comprising multi-family residential, commercial/retail, office, industrial, hotel, educational, and other specific or mixed use properties; commercial construction loans to finance construction of owner- and non-owner occupied commercial real estate properties; and other commercial loans, which include revolving and term loan obligations to business and corporate enterprises for the purpose of financing working capital or capital investment. In addition, it offers municipal loans for capitalized expenditures, construction projects, or tax-anticipation notes; residential term loans that include amortizing home mortgages and construction loans, which include loans for owner-occupied residential construction; home equity loans and lines of credit; and consumer loans, which are amortizing loans to individuals collateralized by automobiles, pleasure crafts, and recreation vehicles, as well as unsecured short-term time notes. Further, the company provides private banking, financial planning, investment management, and trust services to individuals, businesses, non-profit organizations, and municipalities, as well as payment processing services. It operates through 18 full-service banking offices in Lincoln, Knox, Waldo, Penobscot, Hancock, and Washington counties in the Mid-Coast, Eastern, and Down East regions of Maine. The company was formerly known as First National Lincoln Corporation and changed its name to The First Bancorp, Inc. in April 2008. The First Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1864 and is based in Damariscotta, Maine.

CEO
Tony C. McKim
Employees
284
Beta
0.57
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
38.0
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5.8%
High: $30.33
From 52W Low
+29.3%
Low: $22.11
Moving Averages
10-Day
$28.60
Below
20-Day
$28.70
Below
50-Day
$27.70
Above
200-Day
$26.10
Above
60-Day Support
$25.26
60-Day Resistance
$30.33
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 66/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+9.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+3.29%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.6x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
65
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$45M$45M$44M$43M
Gross Profit$26M$24M$22M$21M
Operating Income$12M$11M$10M$9M
Net Income$10M$9M$8M$7M
EPS (Diluted)$0.91$0.81$0.72$0.63
Gross Margin56.2%52.4%50.2%50.1%
Operating Margin27.4%24.4%22.4%20.1%
Net Margin22.4%20.0%18.3%16.6%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 9.3Profit margin 19.4%Valuation below sector median (P/E 9.3)

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -13.0pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
20K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$561K/day
Float
0
0K shares
Mkt Cap
0
$323M
Range
0
37% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volumesmall caprange bound

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Range-BoundSideways: 54/100
Range-Bound Stock

This stock has traded in a compressed range for 3 of the last 5 years (3-year range: 35.1%). Range-bound stocks may indicate limited upside potential. A -2.7pt penalty has been applied.

YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$25.24$32.6325.5%Moderate
2022$27.42$36.8029.2%Moderate
2023$22.33$30.8432%Moderate
2024$21.77$31.0535.1%Wide
2025$22.11$28.6025.6%Moderate
3-Year Range
35.1%
Narrow Years
3 / 5
Sideways Penalty
-2.7pt

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
range bound

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
37.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.