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43

BCML

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

BayCom Corp

Conservative #810Aggressive #1294Low RiskMixed 55MLโ†‘ 22pt
$30.04-1.28%
Day High$31.12
Day Low$30.00
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$327M
52W Low $2252W High $33
Market Cap
$332M
P/E Ratio
13.8
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
3.0%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
1.3%
Profit Margin
16.9%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.11

Why This Score

BCML scores 43.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 13.8x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (5.5% annualized) โ€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (15%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -25.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, BCML would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score43.4
Fundamental Score66.7
ML Score55.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
79.5
6 Month
88.9
Primary
1 Year
93.5

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
False stability: 0.055 vol with only 3.0% revenue growth โ€” stagnation, not safety

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
60
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
39.4
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.9
Final
43.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

63AVG
Value84
Quality41
Growth44
Stability87
Investment61

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)59.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)78.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.3% to +7.0%
Medium-term
+4.2% to +11.3%
Long-term
+6.2% to +15.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 55

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+14.1%
Coverage5 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score59.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+11.9%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.21)
Relative Strength vs Sector+6.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.7)
Momentum Quality+0.137
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
20%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P47
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P55
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P70
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 55th percentileP55
Blended score: 80% fundamental (67) + 20% ML (55) = 64.464.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 9% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: False stability: 0.055 vol with only 3.0% revenue growth โ€” stagnation, not safetyFlag
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #229 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BCML43.413.83.0%16.9%$332M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$112.1B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.2B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.8B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$10.1B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$21.1B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.4B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.8B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.1B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$16.0B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.6B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.3B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy5 analysts
Buy: 5
Price Target
$34consensus
Low $34Median $34High $34
+13.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

BayCom Corp operates as the bank holding company for United Business Bank that provides various financial services to small and mid-sized businesses, service professionals, and individuals. The company offers demand, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts. It also provides commercial and multifamily real estate loans, including owner-occupied and investor real estate loans; commercial and industrial loans, such as equipment loans and working capital lines of credit; small business administration loans; construction and land loans; agriculture-related loans; and consumer loans comprising installment loans, unsecured and secured personal lines of credit, and overdraft protection. In addition, the company offers online and mobile banking, automated teller machine, remote deposit capture, night depository, courier, direct deposit, treasury management, wire transfer, automated clearing house services, debit cards, cashier's and travelers checks, letters of credit, lockbox, positive pay, reverse positive pay, and account reconciliation services, as well as zero balance accounts and sweep accounts, including loan sweep. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through a network of 33 full-service banking branches in Northern and Southern California; Denver, Colorado; Custer, Delta, and Grand counties, Colorado; and Seattle, Washington and Central New Mexico. The company was formerly known as Bay Commercial Bank and changed its name to BayCom Corp in January 2017. BayCom Corp was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Walnut Creek, California.

CEO
George J. Guarini
Employees
320
Beta
0.32
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
40.3
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-9.4%
High: $33.15
From 52W Low
+35.2%
Low: $22.22
Moving Averages
10-Day
$30.20
Below
20-Day
$30.10
Below
50-Day
$30.00
Above
200-Day
$28.60
Above
60-Day Support
$27.59
60-Day Resistance
$33.15
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 65/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+4.31%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.86x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
67
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$35M$38M$35M$34M
Gross Profit$26M$23M$24M$24M
Operating Income$10M$7M$9M$8M
Net Income$7M$5M$6M$6M
EPS (Diluted)$0.63$0.46$0.58$0.51
Gross Margin73.5%61.3%70.0%69.5%
Operating Margin27.6%17.9%24.9%22.5%
Net Margin19.5%13.3%18.2%16.7%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 13.8Profit margin 16.9%Valuation below sector median (P/E 13.8)

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -13.4pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
21K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$635K/day
Float
0
10M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$332M
Range
0
49% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 14/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$16.47$19.6817.8%Narrow
2022$17.52$23.5429.3%Moderate
2023$15.02$24.3147.2%Wide
2024$18.54$30.1347.6%Wide
2025$22.22$33.1539.5%Wide
3-Year Range
75.3%
Narrow Years
2 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
stagnation flag

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
92.9%
Outstanding Shares
11M
Bid-Ask Spread
49.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.