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40

IRTC

🏥 Healthcare

iRhythm Technologies, Inc.

Conservative #860Aggressive #85Moderate RiskLow 39ML↑ 31pt
$138.16+1.66%
Day High$138.16
Day Low$137.25
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$4.5B
52W Low $9352W High $212
Market Cap
$4.9B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
26.2%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
60.7%
Profit Margin
-6.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
4.79

Why This Score

IRTC scores 40.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (31%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (12.4%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 4.79) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-7.5 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.0
Fundamental Score32.9
ML Score84.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
81.2
6 Month
90.8
Primary
1 Year
95.5

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (281.5%) — earnings quality concern
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 4.8x — balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
77
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
71
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
82
Grade A
Base
43.2
SHAP
+1.2
Factors
+2.1
Conviction
-1.1
Divergence
-5.4
Final
40.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)53.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)87.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.3% to +1.3%
Medium-term
-7.9% to +1.9%
Long-term
-10.5% to +2.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 84

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score71.0/100
Target Upside+47.2%
Coverage19 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score76.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+46.1%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.49)
Relative Strength vs Sector+6.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.5)
Momentum Quality+0.237
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
6%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P75
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P62
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 98th percentileP98
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.2pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (67.4) + 9% ML (95.3) + SHAP(+1.2) = 71.1—
Factor quality: +2.1pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 12.4%. Max drawdown 23% (-6.1 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.9B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -1.1pt (conviction=39)—
Divergence penalty: -3.1pt (ML 31pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -14 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (281.5%) — earnings quality concern; Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 4.8x — balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #133 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
IRTC40.0N/A26.2%-6.0%$4.9B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy19 analysts
Buy: 16Hold: 3
Price Target
$211consensus
Low $184Median $210High $244
+52.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

iRhythm Technologies, Inc., a digital healthcare company, provides ambulatory electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring products for patients at risk for arrhythmias in the United States. It offers Zio service, an ambulatory cardiac monitoring solution that combines a wire-free, patch-based, and wearable biosensor with a cloud-based data analytic platform to help physicians to monitor patients and diagnose arrhythmias. The company's Zio XT and AT monitors, a single-use, wire-free, and wearable patch-based biosensors, records patient's heartbeats and ECG data. It has a development collaboration agreement with Verily Life Sciences LLC to develop various next-generation atrial fibrillation screening, detection, or monitoring products. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

CEO
Quentin S. Blackford
Employees
2,000
Beta
1.07
Industry
Medical - Devices
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
41.0
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-35.3%
High: $212
From 52W Low
+48.3%
Low: $92.52
Moving Averages
10-Day
$145.60
Below
20-Day
$148.80
Below
50-Day
$162.40
Below
200-Day
$162.40
Below
60-Day Support
$133.46
60-Day Resistance
$191.4
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 27/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-15.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+11.63%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.11x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
16
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$209M$193M$187M$159M
Gross Profit$148M$137M$133M$109M
Operating Income$9M$-8M$-19M$-33M
Net Income$6M$-5M$-14M$-31M
EPS (Diluted)$0.17$-0.16$-0.45$-0.97
Gross Margin70.9%71.1%71.2%68.8%
Operating Margin4.2%-4.4%-10.0%-20.5%
Net Margin2.7%-2.7%-7.6%-19.3%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 26.2%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 82/100Score impact: -21.5pt

Volume
83
567K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$80M/day
Float
62
32M shares
Mkt Cap
66
$4.9B
Range
100
129% spread
Composite Liquidity Score82/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$41.66$163.37118.7%Wide
2022$88.73$169.5462.6%Wide
2023$70.24$140.2366.5%Wide
2024$55.92$124.1275.8%Wide
2025$86.55$212.0084%Wide
3-Year Range
116.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.3%
Outstanding Shares
32M
Bid-Ask Spread
129.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.