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HWCPZ

🏦 Financial Services

Hancock Whitney Corporation - 6

Conservative #654Aggressive #1337Low Risk
$24.13-1.51%
Day High$24.37
Day Low$24.11
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$2.0B
52W Low $2252W High $26
Market Cap
$2.0B
P/E Ratio
12.2
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
-1.5%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
5.5%
Profit Margin
24.1%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.27

Why This Score

HWCPZ scores 48.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 24.1%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 12.2x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (3.5% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • High conviction (100/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -29.2 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, HWCPZ would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score48.6
Fundamental Score73.3
ML Score76.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
60.5
6 Month
67.6
Primary
1 Year
71.2

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
False stability: 0.035 vol with only -1.5% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety (declining revenue overrides sector exemption)

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
42
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
44.6
SHAP
+2.0
Factors
+0.3
Conviction
+1.7
Final
48.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

65AVG
Value84
Quality50
Growth43
Stability90
Investment56

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)64.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)79.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)61.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.8% to +3.3%
Medium-term
-4.0% to +5.2%
Long-term
-5.1% to +7.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 76

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score42.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+2.4%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.74)
Relative Strength vs Sector+0.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.6)
Momentum Quality+0.083
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
29%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P17
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P65
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P53
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 73 relative to sector peers73/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 76th percentileP76
Blended score: 80% fundamental (73) + 20% ML (76) = 73.873.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.0%; Drawdown 6% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.0pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.7pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: False stability: 0.035 vol with only -1.5% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety (declining revenue overrides sector exemption)Flag
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #193 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
HWCPZ48.612.2-1.5%24.1%$2.0B
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for HWCPZ.

Company Overviewvia FMP

Hancock Whitney Corp. operates as a bank holding company, which engages in the provision of financial services. It also offers trust and investment management services to retirement plans, corporations, individuals, brokerage services, annuity products, life insurance, general insurance and agency services, including life, title insurance and consumer financing service. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Gulfport, MS.

CEO
John M. Hairston
Employees
3,476
Beta
1.06
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
46.2
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.1%
High: $25.7
From 52W Low
+8.6%
Low: $22.21
Moving Averages
10-Day
$24.30
Below
20-Day
$24.30
Below
50-Day
$23.90
Above
200-Day
$23.90
Above
60-Day Support
$22.93
60-Day Resistance
$24.58
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 — ToppingScore: 21/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.08%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.91x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
29
Confidence: 70%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
$22.72
Stop Entry Now Target
$24.85
No Entry
No new entry — distribution phase
Exit Target
$24.13
Reduce at current price ($24.13)
Stop Level
$23.42
Below SMA50 ($23.42)

Stage 3 distribution — institutional selling pressure is building. Avoid new positions. If already holding, consider reducing and tightening stops below SMA50.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$515M$515M$500M$488M
Gross Profit$389M$373M$360M$352M
Operating Income$171M$160M$145M$149M
Net Income$126M$127M$114M$120M
EPS (Diluted)$1.49$1.49$1.32$1.38
Gross Margin75.6%72.4%71.9%72.2%
Operating Margin33.3%31.1%28.9%30.6%
Net Margin24.4%24.7%22.7%24.5%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 12.2Profit margin 24.1%

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -12.7pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
9K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$213K/day
Float
0
83M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$2.0B
Range
0
16% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volumerange bound

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Range-BoundSideways: 84/100
Range-Bound Stock

This stock has traded in a compressed range for 5 of the last 5 years (3-year range: 29.2%). Range-bound stocks may indicate limited upside potential. A -4.2pt penalty has been applied.

YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$26.48$29.3410.2%Narrow
2022$22.24$28.9026%Moderate
2023$19.52$25.5826.9%Moderate
2024$22.63$26.1914.6%Narrow
2025$22.21$25.7014.6%Narrow
3-Year Range
29.2%
Narrow Years
5 / 5
Sideways Penalty
-4.2pt

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.34x dampening
slight revenue declinestagnation flagrange bound

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.0%
Outstanding Shares
84M
Bid-Ask Spread
16.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.