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68

COLB

🏦 Financial Services

Columbia Banking System, Inc.

Conservative #116Aggressive #253Low RiskMixed 56ML↑ 22pt
$30.44+1.94%
Day High$30.50
Day Low$29.84
Volume3.1M
Mkt Cap$7.2B
52W Low $2052W High $33
Market Cap
$7.6B
P/E Ratio
17.1
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
8.3%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
3.1%
Profit Margin
17.1%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.49

Why This Score

COLB scores 68.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (5.6% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (25%) — steady appreciation without overheating.

No material penalties applied. COLB ranks #116 based on its factor profile and ML signal alignment.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score68.7
Fundamental Score64.1
ML Score67.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
60.0
6 Month
67.0
Primary
1 Year
70.5

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
57
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
65
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
87
Grade A
Base
66.5
SHAP
+3.4
Factors
+0.6
Divergence
-1.8
Final
68.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)59.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)83.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.8% to +1.3%
Medium-term
-3.9% to +2.3%
Long-term
-4.9% to +3.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 67

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score64.5/100
Target Upside+8.3%
Coverage19 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score56.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+3.7%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.85)
Relative Strength vs Sector+15.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.4)
Momentum Quality+0.220
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
6%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P62
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P34
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P50
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 48 relative to sector peers48/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 70th percentileP70
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (47.5) + 9% ML (69.6) + SHAP(+4.3) = 53.8—
Factor quality: +0.7pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 5.6%. Stability bonus of +10.7 points. Max drawdown 10% (-0.8 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($7.6B market cap)+0.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.8pt (ML 22pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #28 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
COLB68.717.18.3%17.1%$7.6B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy19 analysts
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 9Hold: 9
Price Target
$33consensus
Low $30Median $33High $37
+7.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Columbia Banking System, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Columbia State Bank that provides a range of banking services to small and medium-sized businesses, professionals, and individuals in the United States. It offers personal banking products and services, including noninterest and interest-bearing checking, savings, money market, and certificate of deposit accounts; home mortgages for purchases and refinances, home equity loans and lines of credit, and other personal loans; debit and credit cards; and digital banking services. The company also provides business banking products and services, such as checking, savings, interest-bearing money market, and certificate of deposit accounts; agricultural, asset-based, builder, and other commercial real estate loans, as well as loans guaranteed by the small business administration; and professional banking, treasury management, merchant card, and international banking services. In addition, it offers wealth management solutions that include financial planning services, such as asset allocation, net worth analysis, estate planning and preservation, education funding, and wealth transfer; long-term care, and life and disability insurance solutions; individual retirement solutions comprising retirement planning, retirement income strategies, and traditional and Roth individual retirement accounts; and business solutions, which comprise business retirement plans, key person insurance, business succession planning, and deferred compensation plans to individuals, families, and professional businesses. Further, the company provides fiduciary, investment, and administrative trust services, such as personal and special needs trusts, estate settlement, and investment agency and charitable management. It operates a network of 153 branch locations, including 68 in the state of Washington, 59 in Oregon, 15 in Idaho, and 11 in California. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Tacoma, Washington.

CEO
Clint E. Stein
Employees
4,721
Beta
0.68
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
44.2
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.9%
High: $32.7
From 52W Low
+55.2%
Low: $19.61
Moving Averages
10-Day
$31.00
Below
20-Day
$30.80
Below
50-Day
$29.60
Above
200-Day
$26.50
Above
60-Day Support
$27.51
60-Day Resistance
$32.7
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 74/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+14.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+6.18%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.15x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
84
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$948M$817M$735M$714M
Gross Profit$717M$512M$481M$464M
Operating Income$305M$119M$203M$124M
Net Income$215M$96M$152M$87M
EPS (Diluted)$0.72$0.40$0.73$0.41
Gross Margin75.6%62.7%65.5%65.0%
Operating Margin32.2%14.6%27.7%17.4%
Net Margin22.7%11.8%20.7%12.1%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 17.1Profit margin 17.1%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 87/100Score impact: +2.2pt

Volume
100
2.7M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$81M/day
Float
60
0K shares
Mkt Cap
73
$7.6B
Range
93
67% spread
Composite Liquidity Score87/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$30.09$50.6851%Wide
2022$26.97$37.6633.1%Moderate
2023$17.54$33.2461.8%Wide
2024$17.08$32.8563.2%Wide
2025$19.61$29.6140.6%Wide
3-Year Range
64.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
67.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.