Back to Dashboard
48

GGAL

🏦 Financial Services

Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.

Conservative #633Aggressive #223High RiskModerate 67
$48.58-0.82%
Day High$49.42
Day Low$47.46
Volume0.7M
Mkt Cap$7.8B
52W Low $2652W High $66
Market Cap
$8.0B
P/E Ratio
12.6
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
-23.5%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
121.3%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.38

Why This Score

GGAL scores 47.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 12.6x earnings, below the market average.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (99/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (35.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-6.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score47.5
Fundamental Score38.8
ML Score99.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
47.3
6 Month
52.9
Primary
1 Year
55.6

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
2.2%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
45
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
60
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
96
Grade A
Base
50.8
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+0.5
Divergence
-6.8
Final
47.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)56.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)36.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-6.0% to +0.6%
Medium-term
-8.8% to +1.1%
Long-term
-11.5% to +1.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 99

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score60.4/100
Target Upside+24.0%
Coverage12 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score45.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.4%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-36.8%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.91)
Relative Strength vs Sector-26.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.5)
Momentum Quality-0.081
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
15%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P5
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P53
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P29
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.4σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 58 relative to sector peers58/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 56th percentileP56
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (58.0) + 9% ML (56.3) + SHAP(+3.0) = 60.9
Factor quality: +0.5pt (multi-factor composite)
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($8.0B market cap)+0.5 pts
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: high. Annualized volatility 35.7%. Max drawdown 54% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -17% (-2.5 pts)High
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -30 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Earnings growth (121%) far exceeds revenue growth (-23.5%) — margin expansion may not be sustainable; Earnings/revenue growth ratio of Infinityx — earnings quality suspect; High accrual ratio (75.6%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #182 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
GGAL47.512.6-23.5%9.8%$8.0B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy12 analysts
Buy: 7Hold: 3Sell: 2
Price Target
$60consensus
Low $60Median $60High $60
+23.5% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A., a financial service holding company, provides various financial products and services to individuals and companies in Argentina. The company operates through Banks, NaranjaX, Insurance, and Other Businesses segments. The company's products and services cover savings, current, and checking accounts; personal loans; express and mortgage loans; pledge and credit card loans; credit and debit cards; and online banking services. It also offers financing products and services; consumer finance services; electronic check; global custody services; Fima funds; financial and stock market services to individuals, companies, and financial institutions; foreign trade services; and capital market and investment banking products that include debt securities, short-term securities, bills, and financial trusts. In addition, the company provides robbery, personal accident, life collective, home, life, integral pyme, pet, surety, various risks, and technical insurance products. Further, it offers private banking services to high net worth individuals; and operates digital investment platform. As of December 31, 2021, it had 312 full service banking branches; and 1,991 ATMs and self-service terminals. Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. was founded in 1905 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

CEO
Diego Hern Rivas
Employees
9,183
Beta
0.76
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
41.3
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-26.7%
High: $66.24
From 52W Low
+87.6%
Low: $25.89
Moving Averages
10-Day
$47.50
Above
20-Day
$50.10
Below
50-Day
$52.00
Below
200-Day
$48.30
Above
60-Day Support
$43.41
60-Day Resistance
$56.97
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 60/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+0.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-3.35%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.08x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
4
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$2.0T$2.1T$2.5T$2.8T
Gross Profit$1.2T$1.5T$1.4T$1.5T
Operating Income$-173.9B$275.9B$235.2B$747.1B
Net Income$-87.7B$172.6B$162.6B$668.5B
EPS (Diluted)$-546.00$1074.80$908.80$4322.70
Gross Margin62.7%73.0%56.5%55.5%
Operating Margin-8.8%13.2%9.3%27.2%
Net Margin-4.4%8.3%6.4%24.3%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 12.6Valuation below sector median (P/E 12.6)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 96/100Score impact: -22.6pt

Volume
100
1.3M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$61M/day
Float
100
132M shares
Mkt Cap
74
$8.0B
Range
100
156% spread
Composite Liquidity Score96/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$7.00$12.7558.2%Wide
2022$5.75$11.2864.9%Wide
2023$9.47$19.1367.6%Wide
2024$15.32$70.30128.4%Wide
2025$25.89$74.0096.3%Wide
3-Year Range
154.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.21x dampening
weinstein basingsevere revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
82.4%
Outstanding Shares
161M
Bid-Ask Spread
156.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.