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GLDD

🏭 Industrials

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation

Conservative #176Aggressive #45Low RiskModerate 64ML↑ 16pt
$16.90-0.24%
Day High$16.96
Day Low$16.90
Volume0.9M
Mkt Cap$1.2B
52W Low $852W High $17
Market Cap
$1.2B
P/E Ratio
14.3
Sector avg: 64.5
Rev Growth
29.4%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
311.8%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.97

Why This Score

GLDD scores 65.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.8% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Attractively valued at 14.3x earnings, below the market average.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. GLDD's rank of #176 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score65.6
Fundamental Score61.2
ML Score73.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
73.1
6 Month
81.8
Primary
1 Year
86.0

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
60
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
57
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
74
Grade B
Base
62.3
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.0
Divergence
-0.7
Final
65.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)72.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)92.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)67.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+4.3% to +9.3%
Medium-term
+7.3% to +15.0%
Long-term
+10.7% to +21.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 73

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score57.1/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage7 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.0%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+54.1%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.45)
Relative Strength vs Sector+87.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.899
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P87
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P63
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P38
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 72 relative to sector peers72/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 87th percentileP87
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (71.5) + 9% ML (87.1) + SHAP(+4.3) = 77.2—
Factor quality: +1.4pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 8.4%. Max drawdown 9% (-0.4 pts)Low
Momentum mean-reversion: -0.9pt (99% 12m momentum)—
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.2B market cap)-8.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -0.7pt (ML 16pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -25 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Earnings growth (312%) massively exceeds revenue growth (29.4%) — earnings spike likely non-recurring; High accrual ratio (-104.0%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #16 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
GLDD65.614.329.4%9.7%$1.2B
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy7 analysts
Buy: 3Hold: 3Sell: 1

Company Overviewvia FMP

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation provides dredging services in the United States. The company engages in capital dredging that consists of port expansion projects; coastal restoration and land reclamations; trench digging for pipelines, tunnels, and cables; and other dredging related to the construction of breakwaters, jetties, canals, and other marine structures. It is also involved in coastal protection projects that comprises of moving sand from the ocean floor to shoreline locations where erosion threatens shoreline assets; maintenance dredging, which consists of the re-dredging of previously deepened waterways and harbors to remove silt, sand, and other accumulated sediments; land reclamations, channel deepening, and port infrastructure development; and lake and river dredging, inland levee and construction dredging, environmental restoration and habitat improvement, and other marine construction projects. The company serves federal, state, and local governments; foreign governments; and domestic and foreign private concerns, such as utilities, oil, and other energy companies. It operates a fleet of 18 dredges, 17 material transportation barges, 1 drillboat, and various other support vessels. The company was formerly known as Lydon & Drews Partnership and changed its name to Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation in 1905. Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

CEO
Lasse J. Petterson
Employees
381
Beta
1.41
Industry
Engineering & Construction
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
89.7
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-0.5%
High: $16.99
From 52W Low
+125%
Low: $7.51
Moving Averages
10-Day
$16.90
Below
20-Day
$16.10
Above
50-Day
$14.80
Above
200-Day
$12.50
Above
60-Day Support
$12.58
60-Day Resistance
$16.99
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 95/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+35.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+15.75%
Rising
Volume Ratio
2.63x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Breakout Volume Confirmed

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$256M$195M$194M$243M
Gross Profit$54M$44M$37M$70M
Operating Income$30M$28M$17M$50M
Net Income$13M$18M$10M$33M
EPS (Diluted)$0.19$0.26$0.14$0.49
Gross Margin20.9%22.4%18.9%28.6%
Operating Margin11.8%14.4%8.8%20.6%
Net Margin4.9%9.1%5.0%13.8%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsP/E ratio of 14.3Revenue growth 29.4%Valuation below sector median (P/E 14.3)

Tradability FilterGrade B — 74/100Score impact: -9.2pt

Volume
100
1.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
76
$18M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
43
$1.2B
Range
100
126% spread
Composite Liquidity Score74/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$13.32$16.2820%Narrow
2022$5.52$16.2798.7%Wide
2023$4.75$9.6768.3%Wide
2024$6.55$12.8965.2%Wide
2025$7.51$14.0260.5%Wide
3-Year Range
98.9%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
126.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.