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BWMN

🏭 Industrials

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.

Conservative #1057Aggressive #884Moderate RiskModerate 68ML↑ 16pt
$33.05+1.94%
Day High$33.09
Day Low$31.96
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$574M
52W Low $1852W High $46
Market Cap
$581M
P/E Ratio
33.2
Sector avg: 64.5
Rev Growth
23.2%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
142.3%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.65

Why This Score

BWMN scores 31.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (11.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -15.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, BWMN would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score31.9
Fundamental Score45.4
ML Score33.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
67.1
6 Month
75.0
Primary
1 Year
79.0

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
88
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
38
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
28.7
SHAP
+2.7
Factors
+1.3
Divergence
-0.8
Final
31.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)56.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)56.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)91.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-7.8% to +1.8%
Long-term
-10.4% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 33

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+55.1%
Coverage6 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score88.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum+0.6%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+84.1%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.33)
Relative Strength vs Sector+51.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.481
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P83
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P39
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P71
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 63 relative to sector peers63/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 79th percentileP79
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (62.9) + 9% ML (78.7) + SHAP(+3.0) = 67.3—
Factor quality: +1.4pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 11.2%. Max drawdown 24% (-6.3 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.6B market cap)-15.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -0.8pt (ML 16pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-128.7%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #105 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BWMN31.933.223.2%3.5%$581M
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy6 analysts
Buy: 6
Price Target
$50consensus
Low $50Median $50High $50
+51.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. provides a range of real estate, energy, infrastructure, and environmental management solutions in the United States. It offers civil and site engineering services, such as conceptual land planning, environmental consulting and permitting, planning/zoning and entitlements, roadway and highway designs, erosion and sediment designs, stormwater management designs, construction administration, traffic studies, floodplain studies, and utility relocation designs; and commissioning and energy efficiency services comprise construction observation, direct systems functional performance testing, system development readiness checklist, post occupancy review, review of construction documents, deferred/seasonal functional testing, final commissioning report, and commissioning review of submittals. The company also provides construction management services, including constructability review, value engineering, budgeting and cost estimating, interagency and utility coordination, onsite observation and report evaluation, public communication and outreach, and resident engineer services, as well as bid solicitation, documentation, and preparation services; and environmental consulting services consisting of wetlands and waters of the U.S. delineations, natural resources inventories, wildlife and vegetation surveys, threatened and endangered species surveys, endangered species conservation and management, wetland creation and enhancement design, NEPA documentation, section 404/401 permitting and compliance, NPDES permitting, and phase I environmental site assessment. In addition, it offers landscape architecture, land procurement and right-of-way acquisition, structural engineering, surveying and geospatial engineering, and transportation and water resources engineering services, as well as mechanical, electrical, and plumbing engineering services. Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.

CEO
Gary Bowman
Employees
2,300
Beta
1.33
Industry
Engineering & Construction
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
47.4
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-27.9%
High: $45.83
From 52W Low
+84.6%
Low: $17.9
Moving Averages
10-Day
$33.30
Below
20-Day
$33.90
Below
50-Day
$34.60
Below
200-Day
$35.20
Below
60-Day Support
$30.48
60-Day Resistance
$37.5
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 32/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-6.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+12.13%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.83x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
9
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$126M$122M$113M$113M
Gross Profit$60M$66M$58M$60M
Operating Income$5M$9M$1M$1M
Net Income$6M$6M$-2M$6M
EPS (Diluted)$0.38$0.35$-0.11$0.34
Gross Margin47.6%53.7%51.4%53.2%
Operating Margin3.9%7.4%1.0%1.2%
Net Margin5.0%4.9%-1.5%5.2%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsRevenue growth 23.2%Valuation below sector median (P/E 33.2)

Tradability FilterGrade D — 38/100Score impact: -14.1pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
26
127K avg/day
Dollar Vol
38
$4M/day
Float
30
14M shares
Mkt Cap
31
$581M
Range
100
156% spread
Composite Liquidity Score38/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$12.60$22.8257.7%Wide
2022$10.76$22.4670.4%Wide
2023$20.03$36.7458.9%Wide
2024$19.93$42.9073.1%Wide
2025$17.90$45.8387.7%Wide
3-Year Range
87.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
80.6%
Outstanding Shares
17M
Bid-Ask Spread
156.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.