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CZFS

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Citizens Financial Services, Inc.

Conservative #744Aggressive #890Low RiskModerate 74
$62.21+0.13%
Day High$62.60
Day Low$60.70
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$299M
52W Low $5052W High $69
Market Cap
$303M
P/E Ratio
8.3
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
2.7%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
31.5%
Profit Margin
21.1%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.92

Why This Score

CZFS scores 45.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 21.1%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 8.3x earnings, below the market average.
  • High conviction (74/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -25.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CZFS would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score45.7
Fundamental Score64.6
ML Score75.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
77.2
6 Month
86.3
Primary
1 Year
90.8

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
52
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
41.7
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.9
Final
45.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

67AVG
Value89
Quality46
Growth66
Stability78
Investment57

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)68.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)76.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)69.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.2% to +8.0%
Medium-term
+5.7% to +13.1%
Long-term
+8.2% to +18.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 75

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage2 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score52.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.9%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.90)
Relative Strength vs Sector+0.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.3)
Momentum Quality+0.082
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
26%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P46
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P91
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P54
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 65 relative to sector peers65/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 75th percentileP75
Blended score: 80% fundamental (65) + 20% ML (75) = 66.766.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 11% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #216 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CZFS45.78.32.7%21.1%$303M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$112.1B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.2B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.8B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$10.1B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$21.1B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.4B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.8B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.1B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$16.0B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.6B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.3B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Company Overviewvia FMP

Citizens Financial Services, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for First Citizens Community Bank that provides various banking products and services for individual, business, governmental, and institutional customers. The company accepts various deposit products, such as checking, savings, and time deposit accounts. Its loan products include residential, commercial, and agricultural real estate loans; commercial and industrial loans; state and political subdivision loans; and consumer loans, as well as various other specialized financial services. The company also provides professional trust administration, investment management services, estate planning and administration, custody of securities, and individual retirement accounts. In addition, it offers brokerage and financial planning services, as well as assistance in various oil and gas leasing matters; and mutual funds, annuities, and health and life insurance products. As of December 31, 2021, the company operates thirty full-service banking branches in Potter, Tioga, Bradford, Clinton, Lebanon, Lancaster, Berks, Schuylkill, Centre, and Chester counties, Pennsylvania; Allegany County, New York; and Wilmington and Dover, Delaware, as well as a limited branch office in Union County, Pennsylvania. Citizens Financial Services, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Mansfield, Pennsylvania.

CEO
Randall E. Black
Employees
379
Beta
0.43
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
32.0
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-10.2%
High: $69.3
From 52W Low
+24.5%
Low: $49.96
Moving Averages
10-Day
$62.40
Below
20-Day
$63.70
Below
50-Day
$61.80
Above
200-Day
$59.30
Above
60-Day Support
$54.21
60-Day Resistance
$69.3
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 51/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+4.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+2.11%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.72x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
34
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$44M$44M$42M$42M
Gross Profit$29M$28M$27M$26M
Operating Income$13M$12M$10M$9M
Net Income$10M$10M$8M$8M
EPS (Diluted)$2.18$2.09$1.76$1.58
Gross Margin65.3%64.6%62.6%60.8%
Operating Margin29.1%28.0%24.6%22.1%
Net Margin23.6%22.7%20.0%18.0%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 8.3Profit margin 21.1%Valuation below sector median (P/E 8.3)

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -25.9pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
11K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$634K/day
Float
0
0K shares
Mkt Cap
0
$303M
Range
0
39% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volumesmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 16/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$53.99$62.4614.5%Narrow
2022$57.71$85.4138.7%Wide
2023$42.25$90.1972.4%Wide
2024$38.14$74.6564.7%Wide
2025$49.96$66.0627.8%Moderate
3-Year Range
81.1%
Narrow Years
2 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
39.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.