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27

CTNM

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Contineum Therapeutics, Inc. Class A Common Stock

Conservative #1139Aggressive #974High RiskFโ†‘ 40pt
$15.78+0.00%
Day High$15.90
Day Low$14.75
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$576M
52W Low $352W High $16
Market Cap
$570M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-100.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-286.0%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.03

Why This Score

CTNM scores 27.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.03) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (28.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -13.8 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CTNM would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score27.5
Fundamental Score36.0
ML Score47.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
17.6
6 Month
19.6
Primary
1 Year
20.7

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.6B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk
Speculative Classification
Speculative micro-cap โ€” no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
2.8%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
69
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
67
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
51
Grade Clow dollar volume
Base
30.2
SHAP
+0.2
Conviction
-2.9
Final
27.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

24AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth0
Stability52
Investment10

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)33.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)67.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-10.7% to -2.2%
Medium-term
-14.8% to -2.5%
Long-term
-19.0% to -2.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 47

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.7/100
Target Upside+13.4%
Coverage3 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score69.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+1.1%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+66.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.36)
Relative Strength vs Sector+80.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.7)
Momentum Quality+0.551
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P2
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P23
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 36 relative to sector peers36/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 47th percentileP47
Blended score: 80% fundamental (36) + 20% ML (47) = 38.238.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.3%; Drawdown 48% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -2.9pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.6B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Speculative: SPEC_MICRO (3.0pt penalty)Speculative
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #224 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CTNM27.5N/A-100.0%0.0%$570M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy3 analysts
Buy: 2Hold: 1
Price Target
$18consensus
Low $14Median $17High $22
+10.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Contineum Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering and developing novel oral small molecule therapies for neuroscience, inflammation, and immunology indications with high unmet need. Its lead asset is PIPE-791, a novel, brain penetrant, small molecule inhibitor of the lysophosphatidic acid 1 receptor (LPA1R) for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). The company also develops PIPE-307, a novel, small molecule selective inhibitor of the muscarinic type 1 M1 receptor to treat depression and relapse remitting MS; and CTX-343, a peripherally-restricted LPA1R antagonist. Contineum Therapeutics, Inc. was formerly known as Pipeline Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Contineum Therapeutics, Inc. in November 2023. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

CEO
Carmine N. Stengone
Employees
41
Beta
1.18
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
62.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-3.4%
High: $16.33
From 52W Low
+371%
Low: $3.35
Moving Averages
10-Day
$15.40
Above
20-Day
$15.10
Above
50-Day
$13.00
Above
200-Day
$9.50
Above
60-Day Support
$8.6
60-Day Resistance
$16.33
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+66.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+27.29%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.66x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$-81,000$-79,000$0$0
Operating Income$-15M$-18M$-18M$85M
Net Income$-13M$-16M$-16M$-15M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.45$-0.62$-0.62$-0.65
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 51/100Score impact: -45.2pt

Volume
54
244K avg/day
Dollar Vol
35
$4M/day
Float
57
27M shares
Mkt Cap
31
$570M
Range
100
378% spread
Composite Liquidity Score51/100
FDCBA
low dollar volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2024$12.33$22.0056.3%Wide
2025$3.35$15.25128%Wide
3-Year Range
147.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 2
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
73.6%
Outstanding Shares
37M
Bid-Ask Spread
378.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.