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CAPR

πŸ₯ Healthcare

Capricor Therapeutics, Inc.

Conservative #1334Aggressive #874High RiskF↑ 27pt
$27.89-1.62%
Day High$28.45
Day Low$27.45
Volume0.7M
Mkt Cap$1.3B
52W Low $452W High $40
Market Cap
$1.3B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-11.5%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-81.6%
Profit Margin
-736.6%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.17

Why This Score

CAPR scores 14.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (125.4%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -13.7 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CAPR would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score14.9
Fundamental Score21.3
ML Score38.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
3.4
6 Month
3.8
Primary
1 Year
4.0

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality β€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected β€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $1.3B biotech/pharma β€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk
Speculative Classification
Speculative growth β€” negative margins and ROE with momentum-driven price action. High risk of mean reversion.
Anomalous margin data β€” extreme values suggest one-time events or accounting irregularities.
Conservative score reduced by 7 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
0.6%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
89
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
80
Grade A
Base
17.6
SHAP
+0.8
Factors
-1.5
Conviction
-1.7
Divergence
-0.3
Final
14.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

21AVG
Value50
Quality0
Growth8
Stability33
Investment12

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)37.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)59.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)91.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-30.6% to -21.7%
Medium-term
-42.6% to -29.9%
Long-term
-53.5% to -37.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs β†’ ML Score: 38

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+61.8%
Coverage10 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score88.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 β€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum+2.6%
Volatility+1.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-211.5%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.18)
Relative Strength vs Sector+21.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.4)
Momentum Quality+0.194
Momentum BreadthBroad βœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
7%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P10
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P36
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0Οƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 21 relative to sector peers21/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 38th percentileP38
Blended score: 80% fundamental (21) + 20% ML (38) = 24.624.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 1.3%; Drawdown 58% β†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered β€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -1.7pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -0.3pt (ML 17pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $1.3B biotech/pharma β€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Speculative: SPEC_GROWTH, ANOMALY_MARGIN (7.0pt penalty)Speculative

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare β€” Rank #307 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CAPR14.9N/A-11.5%-736.6%$1.3B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%β€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy10 analysts
Buy: 10
Price Target
$46consensus
Low $13Median $50High $60
+63.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Capricor Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on the development of transformative cell and exosome-based therapeutics for the treatment and prevention of spectrum of diseases and disorders. Its lead candidate, CAP-1002, an allogeneic cardiac-derived cell therapy, which has completed phase III clinical trial for the treatment of patients with late-stage Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD); and CAP-1002, which is in Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of cytokine storm associated with SARS-CoV-2. The company also develops CAP-2003 that is in pre-clinical development for the treatment of trauma related injuries and conditions; and two vaccine candidates, which are in development stage for the potential prevention of COVID-19. It collaborates with Lonza Houston, Inc. for the clinical manufacturing of CAP-1002, its cell therapy candidate for the treatment of DMD and other indications. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

CEO
Linda MarbΓ‘n
Employees
160
Beta
0.40
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
67.6
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-30.9%
High: $40.37
From 52W Low
+548.6%
Low: $4.3
Moving Averages
10-Day
$26.40
Above
20-Day
$25.20
Above
50-Day
$25.70
Above
200-Day
$13.10
Above
60-Day Support
$5.35
60-Day Resistance
$40.37
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 β€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+112.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+43.56%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
58
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$11M
Gross Profit$-20M$-22M$-19M$-3M
Operating Income$-26M$-28M$-25M$-8M
Net Income$-25M$-26M$-24M$-7M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.54$-0.57$-0.53$-0.16
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/A-30.8%
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/A-69.2%
Net MarginN/AN/AN/A-63.9%

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A β€” 80/100Score impact: -56.6pt

Volume
100
2.7M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$76M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
45
$1.3B
Range
100
839% spread
Composite Liquidity Score80/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$2.75$7.0587.8%Wide
2022$2.56$6.5888%Wide
2023$2.68$8.22101.7%Wide
2024$3.52$23.40147.7%Wide
2025$4.30$40.37161.5%Wide
3-Year Range
175.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.5x dampening
revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
839.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.