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CMPR

πŸ“‘ Communication Services

Cimpress plc

Conservative #628Aggressive #1172Low RiskMixed 43ML↑ 28pt
$72.10+0.70%
Day High$72.10
Day Low$70.80
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$1.8B
52W Low $3552W High $82
Market Cap
$1.8B
P/E Ratio
75.8
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
3.4%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
-91.4%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

CMPR scores 47.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -3.30) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 75.8x earnings β€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Net penalties of -10.2 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CMPR would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score47.7
Fundamental Score63.9
ML Score14.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
74.9
6 Month
83.7
Primary
1 Year
88.1

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-1253.6%) β€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
74
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
56
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
54
Grade Clow volume
Base
48.9
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-5.2
Final
47.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)29.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)87.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+6.6% to +11.9%
Medium-term
+10.8% to +19.0%
Long-term
+16.5% to +27.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs β†’ ML Score: 14

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score55.6/100
Target Upside+38.2%
Coverage9 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score74.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 β€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+36.8%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.32)
Relative Strength vs Sector+54.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.506
Momentum BreadthBroad βœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P48
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P16
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P55
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0Οƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 62 relative to sector peers62/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 90th percentileP90
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.7pt (features align with model priorities)β€”
Blend: 91% fund (61.5) + 9% ML (87.2) + SHAP(+3.7) = 67.5β€”
Factor quality: +1.6pt (multi-factor composite)β€”
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 9.0%Low
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.8B market cap)-8.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -0.7pt (conviction=43)β€”
Divergence penalty: -2.7pt (ML 28pt higher)β€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-1253.6%) β€” earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services β€” Rank #25 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CMPR47.775.83.4%0.7%$1.8B
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%β€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold9 analysts
Buy: 3Hold: 5Sell: 1
Price Target
$98consensus
Low $95Median $98High $100
+35.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Cimpress plc provides various mass customization of printing and related products in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Vistaprint, PrintBrothers, The Print Group, National Pen, and All Other Businesses. It offers printed and digital marketing products; internet-based canvas-print wall dΓ©cor, business signage, and other printed products; business cards; and marketing materials, such as flyers and postcards, digital and marketing services, writing instruments, decorated apparel, promotional products and gifts, packaging, design services, textiles, and magazines and catalogs. The company also manufactures and markets custom writing instruments and promotional products, apparels, and gifts; and provides professional desktop publishing skill sets for local printers, print resellers, graphic artists, advertising agencies, and other customers. In addition, it offers graphic design services, do-it-yourself (DIY) design services, website services, and corporate solutions under the VistaPrint, VistaCreate, 99designs by Vista, Vista Corporate Solutions, and Vista x Wix brand names; and online printing solutions. Further, the company provides promotional and packaging products, logo apparel, books and magazines, wall decors, photo merchandise, invitations and announcements, and other categories; and website design and hosting, and email marketing services, as well as order referral and other third-party offerings. The company serves various businesses, graphic designers, resellers, and printers, as well as teams, associations, groups, consumers, and families. Cimpress plc was founded in 1994 and is based in Dundalk, Ireland.

CEO
Robert S. Keane
Employees
15,000
Beta
1.74
Industry
Advertising Agencies
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
41.5
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-12.5%
High: $82.43
From 52W Low
+104.8%
Low: $35.21
Moving Averages
10-Day
$73.10
Below
20-Day
$75.00
Below
50-Day
$74.40
Below
200-Day
$61.40
Above
60-Day Support
$64.19
60-Day Resistance
$82.43
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 β€” AdvancingScore: 82/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+17.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+16.72%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.94x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$1.0B$863M$869M$789M
Gross Profit$488M$403M$413M$373M
Operating Income$88M$49M$65M$41M
Net Income$49M$8M$-25M$-8M
EPS (Diluted)$1.95$0.30$-1.02$-0.33
Gross Margin46.8%46.7%47.5%47.2%
Operating Margin8.5%5.7%7.5%5.1%
Net Margin4.7%0.9%-2.9%-1.0%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesValuation below sector median (P/E 75.8)

Tradability FilterGrade C β€” 54/100Score impact: -2.4pt

Volume
35
155K avg/day
Dollar Vol
62
$11M/day
Float
50
20M shares
Mkt Cap
55
$1.8B
Range
100
134% spread
Composite Liquidity Score54/100
FDCBA
low volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$65.35$122.3060.7%Wide
2022$18.00$75.40122.9%Wide
2023$24.68$83.36108.6%Wide
2024$58.05$104.9257.5%Wide
2025$35.21$76.6574.1%Wide
3-Year Range
123.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
82.1%
Outstanding Shares
25M
Bid-Ask Spread
134.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.