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35

NN

📡 Communication Services

NextNav Inc.

Conservative #981Aggressive #947Moderate RiskMixed 59
Market Cap
$2.3B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
46.8%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
-42.0%
Profit Margin
-2772.4%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

NN scores 35.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 4859.9% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -11.11) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (12.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-7.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score35.0
Fundamental Score45.4
ML Score21.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
21.7
6 Month
24.3
Primary
1 Year
25.6

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
Negative ROIC (-27.5%) with high ROE (4859.9%) — capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain)
Speculative Classification
Anomalous margin data — extreme values suggest one-time events or accounting irregularities.
Conservative score reduced by 4 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
86
Grade A
Base
36.5
SHAP
+0.7
Factors
-0.8
Divergence
-1.4
Final
35.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)67.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)57.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)64.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-24.2% to -13.4%
Medium-term
-32.1% to -16.9%
Long-term
-40.0% to -20.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 21

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+63.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.18)
Relative Strength vs Sector+53.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.1)
Momentum Quality+0.400
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P95
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P73
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P10
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.7σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 36 relative to sector peers36/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 36th percentileP36
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.7pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (35.8) + 9% ML (34.4) + SHAP(+0.7) = 36.3
Factor quality: -0.8pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 12.9%. Max drawdown 25% (-6.8 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.3B market cap)-4.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -29 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (-1243.4%) exceeds net margin (-2772.4%) by 1529pp — possible write-down; Negative ROIC (-27.5%) with high ROE (4859.9%) — capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain); High accrual ratio (69.6%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #39 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
NN35.0N/A46.8%-2772.4%$2.3B
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for NN.

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesRevenue growth 46.8%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 86/100Score impact: +8.6pt

Volume
100
1.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
80
$20M/day
Float
85
63M shares
Mkt Cap
61
$2.3B
Range
100
102% spread
Composite Liquidity Score86/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$6.11$15.3286%Wide
2022$1.85$9.30133.6%Wide
2023$1.59$6.07117%Wide
2024$3.55$18.54135.7%Wide
2025$9.05$18.2567.4%Wide
3-Year Range
168.4%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
46.8%
Outstanding Shares
135M
Bid-Ask Spread
102.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.