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43

IRDM

📡 Communication Services

Iridium Communications Inc.

Conservative #780Aggressive #824Moderate RiskModerate 78
$23.64-1.13%
Day High$24.40
Day Low$23.43
Volume1.0M
Mkt Cap$2.5B
52W Low $1652W High $33
Market Cap
$2.4B
P/E Ratio
20.9
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
4.9%
Sector avg: 15.8%
Earnings Growth
1.4%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Sector avg: -116.3%
Debt/Equity
3.81

Why This Score

IRDM scores 42.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 24.0% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High conviction (78/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (15.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 3.81) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. IRDM's rank of #780 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score42.6
Fundamental Score39.5
ML Score35.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
67.0
6 Month
74.8
Primary
1 Year
78.8

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-249.8%) — earnings quality concern
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 3.8x — balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
32
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
56
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
38.6
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Final
42.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)52.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)40.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)59.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+0.4% to +4.8%
Medium-term
+1.2% to +7.9%
Long-term
+2.1% to +11.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 35

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score55.8/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage13 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score31.8/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-19.3%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.22)
Relative Strength vs Sector-24.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.6)
Momentum Quality-0.136
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
10%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P53
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P35
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P60
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 79th percentileP79
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (67.4) + 9% ML (78.6) + SHAP(+3.1) = 71.5
Factor quality: +1.3pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 15.2%. Max drawdown 45% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -25% (-3.9 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.4B market cap)-4.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -14 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-249.8%) — earnings quality concern; Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 3.8x — balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #32 of 60 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
IRDM42.620.94.9%13.1%$2.4B
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average43.5120.615.8%-116.3%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy13 analysts
Buy: 6Hold: 4Sell: 3
Price Target
$26consensus
Low $25Median $26High $28
+11.4% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Iridium Communications Inc. provides mobile voice and data communications services and products to businesses, the United States and international governments, non-governmental organizations, and consumers worldwide. The company offers postpaid mobile voice and data satellite communications; prepaid mobile voice satellite communications; push-to-talk; broadband data; and Internet of Things (IoT) services. It also provides hosted payload and other data services, such as satellite time and location services, and inbound connections from the public switched telephone network, short message, subscriber identity module, activation, customer reactivation, and other peripheral services. In addition, the company offers voice and data solutions comprising personnel tracking devices; asset tracking devices for equipment, vehicles, and aircrafts; beyond-line-of-sight aircraft communications applications; maritime communications applications; specialized communications solutions for high-value individuals; mobile communications and data devices for the military and intelligence agencies, such as secure satellite handsets, as well as netted voice, messaging, and paging services; and maintenance services for the United States government's dedicated gateway. Further, it provides satellite handsets, personal connectivity devices, voice and data modems, broadband data devices, and IoT data devices; various accessories for its devices that include batteries, holsters, earbud headphones, portable auxiliary antennas, antenna adaptors, USB data cables, charging units, and others; and engineering and support services. Iridium Communications Inc. sells its products and services to commercial end users through a wholesale distribution network that include service providers, and value-added resellers and manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Iridium Holdings LLC and changed its name to Iridium Communications Inc. in September 2009. Iridium Communications Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

CEO
Matthew J. Desch
Employees
873
Beta
0.64
Industry
Telecommunications Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
68.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-29.1%
High: $33.34
From 52W Low
+51.1%
Low: $15.65
Moving Averages
10-Day
$22.70
Above
20-Day
$21.40
Above
50-Day
$19.70
Above
200-Day
$22.10
Above
60-Day Support
$16.14
60-Day Resistance
$24.47
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 60/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Transition signal: 1→2
Price vs 200 SMA
+7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-9.74%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.07x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
9
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$213M$227M$217M$215M
Gross Profit$169M$111M$99M$102M
Operating Income$55M$70M$50M$60M
Net Income$25M$37M$22M$30M
EPS (Diluted)$0.24$0.35$0.20$0.27
Gross Margin79.1%48.7%45.7%47.3%
Operating Margin25.9%30.9%23.2%28.1%
Net Margin11.7%16.4%10.1%14.2%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesP/E ratio of 20.9Profit margin 13.1%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 94/100Score impact: -5.5pt

Volume
100
2.5M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$58M/day
Float
97
92M shares
Mkt Cap
61
$2.4B
Range
100
113% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
87.4%
Outstanding Shares
105M
Bid-Ask Spread
113.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.