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44

CCAP

🏦 Financial Services

Crescent Capital BDC, Inc.

Conservative #706Aggressive #1170Low RiskLow 28ML↑ 36pt
$13.13-1.02%
Day High$13.17
Day Low$12.88
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$486M
52W Low $1352W High $19
Market Cap
$492M
P/E Ratio
13.7
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
-3.3%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
-12.2%
Profit Margin
24.3%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
1.23

Why This Score

CCAP scores 45.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 24.3%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 13.7x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (5.8% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.23) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-6.6 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score45.0
Fundamental Score52.8
ML Score27.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
72.7
6 Month
81.2
Primary
1 Year
85.5

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
52
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
70
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
45
Grade Clow dollar volume, small cap
Base
42.6
SHAP
+2.9
Factors
+1.1
Divergence
-1.6
Final
45.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)48.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)58.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.4% to +5.0%
Medium-term
-1.7% to +8.0%
Long-term
-2.0% to +11.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 27

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score70.0/100
Target Upside+28.9%
Coverage5 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score52.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-8.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.38)
Relative Strength vs Sector-23.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.5)
Momentum Quality-0.122
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
29%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P13
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P56
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P59
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 51 relative to sector peers51/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 87th percentileP87
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (50.8) + 9% ML (86.6) + SHAP(+3.1) = 57.2—
Factor quality: +1.2pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 5.8%. Stability bonus of +10.5 points. Max drawdown 15% (-2.9 pts). Price momentum -14% (-1.9 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -20.0 points ($0.5B market cap)-20.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -2.1pt (conviction=28)—
Divergence penalty: -3.9pt (ML 36pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-76.7%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #204 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CCAP45.013.7-3.3%24.3%$492M
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$112.1B
CINF82.410.711.4%18.9%$25.8B
ACT81.98.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
SEIC81.014.010.7%27.3%$10.1B
TROW79.510.13.1%28.5%$21.1B
FHB78.111.83.2%24.2%$3.2B
MCHB77.4N/A123.7%23.2%$3.3B
TRMK75.711.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.49.926.2%27.1%$605M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.1B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$26.2B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.7B
FFIN73.118.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
VLY72.512.5-2.2%17.1%$7.4B
QQQX72.010.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.726.813.4%-2.8%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. is as a business development company private equity / buyouts and loan fund. It specializes in directly investing. It specializes in middle market. The fund seeks to invest in United States.

CEO
Jason A. Breaux
Beta
0.58
Industry
Asset Management
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
27.6
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-29.2%
High: $18.57
From 52W Low
+3.5%
Low: $12.7
Moving Averages
10-Day
$13.50
Below
20-Day
$13.90
Below
50-Day
$14.30
Below
200-Day
$14.60
Below
60-Day Support
$12.7
60-Day Resistance
$15.18
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 19/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-10%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-4.99%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.84x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
28
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$46M$36M$43M$42M
Gross Profit$0$10M$19M$7M
Operating Income$0$7M$15M$4M
Net Income$66.9B$7M$15M$4M
EPS (Diluted)$1805.69$0.19$0.41$0.45
Gross Margin0.0%26.9%44.5%16.9%
Operating Margin0.0%20.3%35.9%10.5%
Net Margin146316.3%19.5%34.9%9.3%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 13.7Profit margin 24.3%

Tradability FilterGrade C — 45/100Score impact: +3.2pt

Volume
50
204K avg/day
Dollar Vol
20
$3M/day
Float
61
31M shares
Mkt Cap
28
$492M
Range
82
43% spread
Composite Liquidity Score45/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumesmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 34/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$15.90$21.4829.9%Moderate
2022$12.55$18.7139.4%Wide
2023$12.87$18.0033.2%Moderate
2024$15.91$20.0322.9%Narrow
2025$13.03$20.1943.1%Wide
3-Year Range
44.3%
Narrow Years
2 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
85.0%
Outstanding Shares
37M
Bid-Ask Spread
43.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.