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BULL

๐Ÿ’ป Technology

Webull Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares

Conservative #1054Aggressive #1389High RiskModerate 79
$6.01+4.34%
Day High$6.03
Day Low$5.80
Volume8.2M
Mkt Cap$3.0B
52W Low $652W High $80
Market Cap
$3.0B
P/E Ratio
89.1
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
0.2%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-473.9%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.12

Why This Score

BULL scores 31.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (79/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Elevated valuation at 89.1x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (13.4%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-6.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score31.9
Fundamental Score39.4
ML Score18.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
34.4
6 Month
38.4
Primary
1 Year
40.4

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (967.0%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
50
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
35.2
SHAP
-2.9
Factors
+0.6
Divergence
-1.0
Final
31.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)31.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)25.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)75.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-14.0% to -8.2%
Medium-term
-18.3% to -9.9%
Long-term
-22.5% to -11.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 18

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+216.1%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score50.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 โ€” Basing
12M Momentum-0.5%
6M Momentum-0.6%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+7.2%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.87)
Relative Strength vs Sector-52.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.6)
Momentum Quality-0.197
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P20
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P11
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P50
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 55 relative to sector peers55/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 45th percentileP45
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: -2.9pt (features diverge from model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (55.2) + 9% ML (44.8) + SHAP(-2.9) = 51.4โ€”
Factor quality: +0.6pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($3.0B market cap)-4.0 pts
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: high. Annualized volatility 13.4%. Max drawdown 59% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -49% (-8.7 pts)High
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (967.0%) โ€” earnings quality concern; R&D-adjusted ROIC: 2.4% (original: 2.7%). Software - Application has ~20% R&D intensity. Capitalizing R&D over 5 years increases invested capital by ~50%.Flag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology โ€” Rank #238 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BULL31.989.10.2%6.3%$3.0B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Price Target
$18consensus
Low $18Median $18High $18
+199.5% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Webull Corporation operates as a digital investment platform. The company offers trading services, wealth management product distribution, market data and information, user community, and investor education.โ€‹

CEO
Anquan Wang
Employees
1,194
Beta
-0.10
Industry
Software - Application
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
41.3
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-92.4%
High: $79.56
From 52W Low
+9.9%
Low: $5.47
Moving Averages
10-Day
$5.90
Above
20-Day
$6.40
Below
50-Day
$7.50
Below
200-Day
$11.20
Below
60-Day Support
$5.47
60-Day Resistance
$10.37
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 1 โ€” BasingScore: 38/100

Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.

Monitor for breakout above 200-day SMA on volume
Price vs 200 SMA
-46.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
0%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.69x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
38
Confidence: 70%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$157M$131M$117M$108M
Gross Profit$121M$97M$94M$85M
Operating Income$24M$-4M$21M$15M
Net Income$37M$-28M$13M$11M
EPS (Diluted)$0.07$-1.20$-0.02$0.00
Gross Margin77.3%73.5%80.2%79.0%
Operating Margin15.6%-2.8%17.5%14.0%
Net Margin23.5%-21.5%11.1%10.0%

Why This Stock

Technology

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 94/100Score impact: -8.5pt

Volume
100
14.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$79M/day
Float
100
258M shares
Mkt Cap
62
$3.0B
Range
100
1323% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
51.4%
Outstanding Shares
502M
Bid-Ask Spread
1323.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.