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BNTX

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

BioNTech SE

Conservative #496Aggressive #1073Low Risk
$110.23+1.31%
Day High$111.05
Day Low$108.99
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$26.5B
52W Low $8152W High $124
Market Cap
$26.5B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-28.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-171.5%
Profit Margin
-18.1%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

BNTX scores 54.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (78/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (10.6%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. BNTX's rank of #496 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score54.4
Fundamental Score50.7
ML Score51.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
53.9
6 Month
60.2
Primary
1 Year
63.4

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
54
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
71
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
97
Grade A
Base
50.8
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+1.1
Final
54.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

31AVG
Value50
Quality8
Growth0
Stability82
Investment15

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)33.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)61.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.8% to +3.3%
Medium-term
-4.0% to +5.1%
Long-term
-5.3% to +6.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 51

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score70.8/100
Target Upside+24.0%
Coverage24 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score53.8/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 โ€” Topping
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-12.1%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.94)
Relative Strength vs Sector-30.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.6)
Momentum Quality-0.055
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
8%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P8
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P38
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 51 relative to sector peers51/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 51th percentileP51
Blended score: 80% fundamental (51) + 20% ML (51) = 50.850.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 11% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #69 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BNTX54.4N/A-28.0%-18.1%$26.5B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$20.2B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$18.1B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$2.9B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$14.0B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$125.2B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.3B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.8B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$210.2B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$48.0B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$81.3B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$177.8B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy24 analysts
Buy: 20Hold: 4
Price Target
$137consensus
Low $113Median $140High $155
+24.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

BioNTech SE, a biotechnology company, develops and commercializes immunotherapies for cancer and other infectious diseases. The company is developing FixVac product candidates, including BNT111, which is in Phase II clinical trial for advance melanoma; BNT112 that is in Phase I/IIa clinical trial for prostate cancer; BNT113, which is in Phase II clinical trial to treat HPV+ head and neck cancers; BNT114 that is in Phase I clinical trial for triple negative breast cancer; BNT115, which is in Phase I clinical trial in ovarian cancer; and BNT116, a preclinical stage product for non-small cell lung cancer. It also develops neoantigen specific immunotherapies, such as Autogene cevumeran (BNT122), which is in Phase II clinical trial for first-line melanoma, as well as in Phase 1a/1b clinical trial to treat multiple solid tumors; mRNA intratumoral immunotherapy comprising SAR441000 that is in Phase I clinical trial for solid tumors; and BNT141 and BNT142 that are in Phase I clinical trial to treat multiple solid tumors. In addition, the company develops RiboCytokines, which include BNT151, BNT152, and BNT153 to treat solid tumors; chimeric antigen receptor T cell immunotherapies, such as BNT211 to treat multiple solid tumors, and BNT221 for other cancers; and checkpoint immunomodulators consisting of GEN1046 and GEN1042, which are in Phase I/II clinical trial to treat solid tumors. Further, it develops BNT321, an IgG1 monoclonal antibody in Phase II clinical trial for pancreatic cancer; BNT411, a small molecule immunomodulator product candidate for solid tumors; prophylactic vaccine for COVID-19 and Influenza; and infectious disease immunotherapies and rare disease protein replacement therapies. The company has collaborations with Genentech, Inc.; Sanofi S.A.; Genmab A/S; Pfizer Inc.; Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd.; and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. BioNTech SE was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Mainz, Germany.

CEO
Ugur Sahin
Employees
6,772
Beta
1.51
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
59.6
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-11.1%
High: $124
From 52W Low
+35.8%
Low: $81.2
Moving Averages
10-Day
$109.10
Above
20-Day
$108.90
Above
50-Day
$105.20
Above
200-Day
$104.60
Above
60-Day Support
$91.11
60-Day Resistance
$124
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 โ€” ToppingScore: 24/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+5.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.36%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.53x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
32
Confidence: 70%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
$100.01
Stop Entry Now Target
$113.54
No Entry
โ€”
No new entry โ€” distribution phase
Exit Target
$110.23
Reduce at current price ($110.23)
Stop Level
$103.10
Below SMA50 ($103.1)

Stage 3 distribution โ€” institutional selling pressure is building. Avoid new positions. If already holding, consider reducing and tightening stops below SMA50.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$1.5B$261M$183M$1.2B
Gross Profit$1.4B$184M$99M$947M
Operating Income$-47M$-501M$-534M$149M
Net Income$-29M$-387M$-416M$260M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.12$-1.60$-1.73$1.08
Gross Margin90.2%70.7%54.2%79.5%
Operating Margin-3.1%-192.1%-292.2%12.5%
Net Margin-1.9%-148.2%-227.5%21.8%

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 97/100Score impact: -4.4pt

Volume
100
1.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$126M/day
Float
100
240M shares
Mkt Cap
88
$26.5B
Range
86
53% spread
Composite Liquidity Score97/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$90.29$464.00134.8%Wide
2022$117.08$256.1474.5%Wide
2023$88.00$156.2855.9%Wide
2024$76.53$131.4952.8%Wide
2025$81.20$129.2745.7%Wide
3-Year Range
68.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.21x dampening
weinstein basingsevere revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.6%
Outstanding Shares
240M
Bid-Ask Spread
53.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.