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59

DXCM

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

DexCom, Inc.

Conservative #361Aggressive #172Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 19pt
$73.43-1.28%
Day High$74.35
Day Low$73.03
Volume4.6M
Mkt Cap$28.6B
52W Low $5452W High $90
Market Cap
$27.3B
P/E Ratio
33.5
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
15.6%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
45.1%
Profit Margin
17.9%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.51

Why This Score

DXCM scores 60.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 30.5% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (91/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (11.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-3.6 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score60.0
Fundamental Score51.8
ML Score91.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
76.9
6 Month
85.9
Primary
1 Year
90.4

Quality Assessment

A
Quality Grade
Excellent quality โ€” strong profitability, low leverage, no flags

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
45
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
70
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
98
Grade A
Base
59.6
SHAP
+2.2
Factors
+1.8
Divergence
-3.6
Final
60.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

77AVG
Value55
Quality85
Growth90
Stability75
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)73.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)47.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)79.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.5% to +8.4%
Medium-term
+5.9% to +13.4%
Long-term
+9.1% to +19.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 91

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score69.7/100
Target Upside+16.0%
Coverage52 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score44.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-13.7%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.34)
Relative Strength vs Sector-45.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.8)
Momentum Quality-0.138
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P63
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P13
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P85
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 52 relative to sector peers52/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 91th percentileP91
Blended score: 80% fundamental (52) + 20% ML (91) = 59.659.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 33% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade A
SHAP feature alignment: +2.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -3.6pt (ML 39pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #43 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
DXCM60.033.515.6%17.9%$27.3B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$20.2B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$18.1B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$2.9B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$14.0B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$125.2B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.3B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.8B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$210.2B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$48.0B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$81.3B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$177.8B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

DexCom, Inc., a medical device company, focuses on the design, development, and commercialization of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems in the United States and internationally. The company provides its systems for use by people with diabetes, as well as for use by healthcare providers. Its products include DexCom G6, an integrated CGM system for diabetes management; Dexcom Real-Time API, which enables invited third-party developers to integrate real-time CGM data into their digital health applications and devices; Dexcom ONE, that is designed to replace finger stick blood glucose testing for diabetes treatment decisions; and Dexcom Share, a remote monitoring system. The company's products candidature comprises Dexcom G7, a next generation G7 CGM system. DexCom, Inc. has a collaboration and license agreement with Verily Life Sciences LLC and Verily Ireland Limited to develop blood-based or interstitial glucose monitoring products. The company markets its products directly to endocrinologists, physicians, and diabetes educators. DexCom, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

CEO
Jacob Steven Leach
Employees
10,200
Beta
1.49
Industry
Medical - Devices
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
60.2
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-18.4%
High: $90
From 52W Low
+35.7%
Low: $54.11
Moving Averages
10-Day
$72.60
Above
20-Day
$71.30
Above
50-Day
$70.10
Above
200-Day
$73.80
Below
60-Day Support
$62.86
60-Day Resistance
$75.97
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 26/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-0.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-2.24%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.94x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
1
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.3B$1.2B$1.2B$1.0B
Gross Profit$793M$731M$689M$589M
Operating Income$323M$243M$213M$134M
Net Income$267M$284M$180M$105M
EPS (Diluted)$0.67$0.70$0.45$0.27
Gross Margin62.9%60.5%59.5%56.9%
Operating Margin25.6%20.1%18.4%12.9%
Net Margin21.2%23.5%15.5%10.2%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 15.6%Profit margin 17.9%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 98/100Score impact: -8.1pt

Volume
100
5.3M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$389M/day
Float
100
383M shares
Mkt Cap
89
$27.3B
Range
95
70% spread
Composite Liquidity Score98/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$79.61$164.8669.7%Wide
2022$66.89$134.7667.3%Wide
2023$74.75$139.5560.5%Wide
2024$62.34$142.0078%Wide
2025$54.11$93.2553.1%Wide
3-Year Range
89.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
98.2%
Outstanding Shares
390M
Bid-Ask Spread
70.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.