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51

WYNN

🛍️ Consumer Cyclical

Wynn Resorts, Limited

Conservative #522Aggressive #1048Low RiskModerate 63ML↑ 18pt
$107.45-1.82%
Day High$111.00
Day Low$105.83
Volume1.4M
Mkt Cap$11.2B
52W Low $6552W High $135
Market Cap
$11.9B
P/E Ratio
36.1
Sector avg: 45.1
Rev Growth
0.1%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
-34.7%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

WYNN scores 51.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -32.96) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (28%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Moderate penalties (-3.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score51.5
Fundamental Score58.3
ML Score21.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
77.3
6 Month
86.3
Primary
1 Year
90.9

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
68
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
65
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
95
Grade A
Base
50.8
SHAP
+2.6
Factors
+1.4
Divergence
-3.3
Final
51.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)36.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)57.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-7.8% to +1.8%
Long-term
-10.4% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 21

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score65.0/100
Target Upside+34.7%
Coverage45 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score68.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+38.3%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.36)
Relative Strength vs Sector+27.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.1)
Momentum Quality+0.236
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P29
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P20
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P26
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 64 relative to sector peers64/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 82th percentileP82
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (63.5) + 9% ML (79.6) + SHAP(+3.1) = 68.1—
Factor quality: +1.6pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 9.1%. Max drawdown 16% (-3.3 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($11.9B market cap)+2.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.2pt (ML 18pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-126.1%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical — Rank #46 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
WYNN51.536.10.1%4.6%$11.9B
MAR75.937.24.3%9.9%$93.8B
ABNB75.230.110.3%20.5%$72.8B
ULTA75.126.20.8%10.6%$30.6B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.4B
ORLY71.932.55.7%14.3%$81.6B
ROST71.130.73.7%9.9%$63.9B
DPZ70.621.95.1%12.4%$12.7B
GTX69.711.83.1%8.6%$3.8B
CART69.119.911.0%13.5%$9.6B
EBAY68.518.31.7%19.3%$37.6B
GNTX68.214.30.6%17.5%$5.5B
AMZN65.327.712.4%10.8%$2.1T
CASY65.141.07.3%3.4%$24.7B
TXRH65.027.616.0%8.1%$12.0B
URBN63.213.37.7%7.3%$6.3B
Sector Average46.245.16.3%-6.5%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy45 analysts
Buy: 28Hold: 16Sell: 1
Price Target
$144consensus
Low $133Median $145High $155
+33.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Wynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. Its Wynn Palace segment operates 424,000 square feet of casino space with 323 table games, 1,035 slot machines, private gaming salons, and sky casinos; a luxury hotel tower with 1,706 guest rooms, suites, and villas, including a health club, spa, salon, and pool; 14 food and beverage outlets; 107,000 square feet of retail space; 37,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; and performance lake and floral art displays. Its Wynn Macau segment operates 252,000 square feet of casino space with 331 table games, 818 slot machines, private gaming salons, sky casinos, and a poker room; two luxury hotel towers with 1,010 guest rooms and suites that include two health clubs, two spas, a salon, and a pool; 14 food and beverage outlets; 59,000 square feet of retail space; 31,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; and Chinese zodiac-inspired ceiling attractions. Its Las Vegas Operations segment operates 194,000 square feet of casino space with 223 table games, 1,751 slot machines, private gaming salons, a sky casino, a poker room, and a race and sports book; two luxury hotel towers with 4,748 guest rooms, suites, and villas, including swimming pools, private cabanas, two full service spas and salons, and a wedding chapel; 32 food and beverage outlets; 513,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; 155,000 square feet of retail space; and two theaters, three nightclubs and a beach club. Its Encore Boston Harbor segment operates 211,000 square feet of casino space with 184 table games, 2,766 slot machines, gaming areas, and a poker room; a luxury hotel tower with 671 guest rooms and suites, including a spa and salon; 15 food and beverage outlets and a nightclub; 10,000 square feet of retail space; 71,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; and a waterfront park, floral displays, and water shuttle service. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

CEO
Craig Scott Billings
Employees
28,000
Beta
1.01
Industry
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
41.0
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-20.2%
High: $134.72
From 52W Low
+64.7%
Low: $65.25
Moving Averages
10-Day
$112.20
Below
20-Day
$112.40
Below
50-Day
$116.90
Below
200-Day
$113.50
Below
60-Day Support
$104.06
60-Day Resistance
$134.72
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 32/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3→4
Price vs 200 SMA
-5.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+10.49%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.38x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
3
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.9B$1.8B$1.7B$1.7B
Gross Profit$596M$756M$726M$719M
Operating Income$289M$310M$265M$269M
Net Income$100M$88M$66M$73M
EPS (Diluted)$0.96$0.85$0.64$0.69
Gross Margin32.0%41.2%41.8%42.3%
Operating Margin15.5%16.9%15.2%15.8%
Net Margin5.4%4.8%3.8%4.3%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalValuation below sector median (P/E 36.1)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 95/100Score impact: +13.3pt

Volume
100
1.5M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$159M/day
Float
90
74M shares
Mkt Cap
81
$11.9B
Range
100
106% spread
Composite Liquidity Score95/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$76.03$143.8861.7%Wide
2022$50.20$96.5063.1%Wide
2023$81.65$117.8636.3%Wide
2024$71.63$110.3842.6%Wide
2025$65.25$134.7269.5%Wide
3-Year Range
69.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
71.4%
Outstanding Shares
104M
Bid-Ask Spread
106.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.