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47

VINP

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Vinci Compass Investments Ltd.

Conservative #692Aggressive #870Low RiskMLโ†‘ 29pt
$12.25-2.16%
Day High$12.50
Day Low$11.79
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$768M
52W Low $952W High $14
Market Cap
$768M
P/E Ratio
17.4
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
17.8%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
-46.4%
Profit Margin
21.4%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.47

Why This Score

VINP scores 47.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 21.4%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Low volatility (4.3% annualized) โ€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (30%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -25.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, VINP would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score47.2
Fundamental Score66.7
ML Score74.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
66.9
6 Month
74.8
Primary
1 Year
78.8

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Low FCF/NI ratio (0.12) with 21.4% net margin โ€” reported earnings may not be cash-backed

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
65
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
43.2
SHAP
+3.2
Factors
+0.8
Final
47.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

58AVG
Value75
Quality38
Growth38
Stability89
Investment52

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)46.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)87.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.0% to +5.5%
Medium-term
+2.4% to +9.3%
Long-term
+3.8% to +13.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 74

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score65.0/100
Target Upside+5.3%
Coverage5 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+5.2%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.82)
Relative Strength vs Sector+21.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.280
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P77
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P43
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P40
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 74th percentileP74
Blended score: 80% fundamental (67) + 20% ML (74) = 68.268.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.0%; Drawdown 6% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +3.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Low FCF/NI ratio (0.12) with 21.4% net margin โ€” reported earnings may not be cash-backedFlag
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #201 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
VINP47.217.417.8%21.4%$768M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$112.1B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.2B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.8B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$10.1B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$21.1B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.4B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.8B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.1B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$16.0B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.6B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.3B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy5 analysts
Buy: 4Sell: 1
Price Target
$13consensus
Low $13Median $13High $13
+6.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. operates as an asset management firm in Brazil. It operates through six segments: Global Investment Products & Solutions (IP&S), Credit, Private Equity, Equities, Real Assets, and Corporate Advisory. The Global IP&S segment provides access to a network of general partners and asset managers, as well as proprietary investment solutions; multi-asset allocation strategies, and portfolio and management services; and liquid and alternative, separate mandates, commingled funds, brokerage, pension plans, solutions, and Vinci retirement services. Its Credit segment operates public and private credit, opportunistic capital solutions, and agribusiness credit. The Private Equity segment focuses on control and co-control investments, and minority investments in small-to-medium enterprises. Its Equities segment delivers investment solutions across Latin America and other country markets. The Real Assets segment comprises investments focused on assets through real estate, infrastructure, and forestry. Its Corporate Advisory segment offers corporate advisory services, including financial and strategic advisory services, focusing on IPO advisory and mergers and acquisition transactions to entrepreneurs, corporate senior management teams, and boards of directors. The company was formerly known as Vinci Partners Investments Ltd. and changed its name to Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. in July 2025. Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

CEO
Alessandro Monteiro Morgado Horta
Employees
594
Beta
0.10
Industry
Asset Management
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
52.5
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-10%
High: $13.61
From 52W Low
+41.5%
Low: $8.66
Moving Averages
10-Day
$12.40
Below
20-Day
$12.40
Below
50-Day
$12.80
Below
200-Day
$11.10
Above
60-Day Support
$11.79
60-Day Resistance
$13.61
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 75/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+10.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+8.49%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.27x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$355M$274M$235M$260M
Gross Profit$327M$213M$213M$169M
Operating Income$-175M$59M$67M$47M
Net Income$115M$68M$56M$1M
EPS (Diluted)$1.83$1.03$0.87$0.02
Gross Margin92.2%77.8%90.9%64.9%
Operating Margin-49.2%21.5%28.7%18.0%
Net Margin32.5%24.7%23.8%0.5%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 17.4Revenue growth 17.8%Profit margin 21.4%

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -22.0pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
47K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$582K/day
Float
0
0K shares
Mkt Cap
0
$768M
Range
0
57% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 11/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$9.65$18.6763.7%Wide
2022$7.80$14.5760.5%Wide
2023$7.70$11.4739.3%Wide
2024$9.01$11.8527.2%Moderate
2025$8.66$13.3742.8%Wide
3-Year Range
53.8%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
57.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.