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SITM

💻 Technology

SiTime Corporation

Conservative #280Aggressive #21Low RiskHigh 85
$418.17+3.31%
Day High$426.75
Day Low$406.25
Volume0.4M
Mkt Cap$11.0B
52W Low $10552W High $447
Market Cap
$11.1B
P/E Ratio
63.7
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
61.2%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
54.2%
Profit Margin
-13.1%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

SITM scores 60.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (94/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
  • High conviction (85/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (171%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 63.7x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (12.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-8.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score60.9
Fundamental Score57.8
ML Score94.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
54.0
6 Month
60.3
Primary
1 Year
63.5

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
68
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
72
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
77
Grade B
Base
60.1
SHAP
+2.2
Factors
+0.7
Conviction
+1.1
Divergence
-3.2
Final
60.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

58AVG
Value40
Quality40
Growth90
Stability90
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)93.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)85.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.0% to +5.6%
Medium-term
+2.4% to +9.5%
Long-term
+3.7% to +13.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 94

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.2/100
Target Upside+3.9%
Coverage9 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score67.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.7%
6M Momentum+0.7%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+97.0%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.43)
Relative Strength vs Sector+167.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.626
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P97
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P18
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P24
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+1.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 56 relative to sector peers56/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 64th percentileP64
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.7pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (56.0) + 9% ML (63.5) + SHAP(+3.7) = 60.4
Factor quality: +1.2pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 12.2%Low
Momentum mean-reversion: -4.5pt (171% 12m momentum)
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($11.1B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +1.8pt (conviction=85)
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #66 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SITM60.963.761.2%-13.1%$11.1B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy9 analysts
Buy: 8Hold: 1
Price Target
$409consensus
Low $270Median $435High $485
-2.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

SiTime Corporation designs, develops, and sells silicon timing systems solutions in Taiwan, Hong Kong, the United States, and internationally. The company provides resonators and clock integrated circuits, and various types of oscillators. Its solutions have applications in various markets, including communications and enterprise, automotive, industrial, Internet of Things, mobile, consumer, and aerospace and defense. The company sells its timing products through distributors and resellers. SiTime Corporation was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

CEO
Rajesh Vashist
Employees
395
Beta
2.54
Industry
Semiconductors
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
69.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.4%
High: $446.96
From 52W Low
+296.7%
Low: $105.4
Moving Averages
10-Day
$412.70
Above
20-Day
$397.50
Above
50-Day
$374.10
Above
200-Day
$280.60
Above
60-Day Support
$284.32
60-Day Resistance
$446.96
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+49%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+29.14%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.92x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$113M$84M$69M$60M
Gross Profit$64M$45M$36M$30M
Operating Income$5M$-16M$-25M$-28M
Net Income$9M$-8M$-20M$-24M
EPS (Diluted)$0.34$-0.31$-0.84$-1.01
Gross Margin56.4%53.5%51.9%50.3%
Operating Margin4.2%-19.2%-35.4%-46.6%
Net Margin8.1%-9.6%-29.0%-39.6%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 61.2%

Tradability FilterGrade B — 77/100Score impact: -20.3pt

Volume
63
334K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$132M/day
Float
53
23M shares
Mkt Cap
80
$11.1B
Range
100
324% spread
Composite Liquidity Score77/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$75.81$341.77127.4%Wide
2022$73.10$303.86122.4%Wide
2023$81.09$142.8855.2%Wide
2024$72.39$268.18115%Wide
2025$105.40$387.52114.5%Wide
3-Year Range
137%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
85.7%
Outstanding Shares
26M
Bid-Ask Spread
324.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.