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51

SEZL

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Sezzle Inc.

Conservative #599Aggressive #45High Risk
$72.95-13.87%
Day High$85.05
Day Low$71.00
Volume1.9M
Mkt Cap$2.5B
52W Low $2552W High $187
Market Cap
$2.7B
P/E Ratio
19.6
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
70.1%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
1006.3%
Profit Margin
27.7%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.76

Why This Score

SEZL scores 51.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 92.8% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 27.7%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (28%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
  • High conviction (74/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (41.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-4.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score51.1
Fundamental Score46.4
ML Score75.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
61.3
6 Month
68.5
Primary
1 Year
72.1

Quality Assessment

A
Quality Grade
Excellent quality โ€” strong profitability, low leverage, no flags

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
1.9%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
72
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
69
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
79
Grade B
Base
50.1
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-2.0
Final
51.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

66AVG
Value42
Quality98
Growth100
Stability28
Investment63

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)88.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)27.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)85.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-7.8% to +1.8%
Long-term
-10.4% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 75

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score68.8/100
Target Upside+39.6%
Coverage4 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score71.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.4%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+60.8%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.88)
Relative Strength vs Sector+19.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.7)
Momentum Quality+0.098
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P97
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P39
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P35
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+1.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 46 relative to sector peers46/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 75th percentileP75
Blended score: 80% fundamental (46) + 20% ML (75) = 52.152.1
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.4%; Drawdown 66% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade A
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -2.0pt (ML 29pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #183 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SEZL51.119.670.1%27.7%$2.7B
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Sezzle Inc. operates as a technology-enabled payments company primarily in the United States and Canada. The company provides payment solution at online stores and various brick-and-mortar retail locations that connects consumers with merchants. Its platform enables customers to make online purchases and split the payment for the purchase in four equal interest free payments over six weeks. Sezzle Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

CEO
Charles G. Youakim
Employees
402
Beta
8.75
Industry
Financial - Credit Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
54.3
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-60.9%
High: $186.74
From 52W Low
+193.4%
Low: $24.86
Moving Averages
10-Day
$65.70
Above
20-Day
$64.80
Above
50-Day
$68.30
Above
200-Day
$92.30
Below
60-Day Support
$55
60-Day Resistance
$86.68
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 22/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-21%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+8.17%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.39x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
96
Confidence: 40%
Recent Gap Up

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$130M$117M$99M$105M
Gross Profit$138M$99M$73M$75M
Operating Income$55M$36M$36M$50M
Net Income$43M$27M$28M$36M
EPS (Diluted)$1.19$0.75$0.76$1.00
Gross Margin106.0%85.1%73.7%71.1%
Operating Margin42.5%30.4%36.6%47.6%
Net Margin32.9%22.8%28.0%34.5%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 19.6Revenue growth 70.1%Profit margin 27.7%

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 79/100Score impact: -14.6pt

Volume
92
805K avg/day
Dollar Vol
97
$45M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
59
$2.7B
Range
100
651% spread
Composite Liquidity Score79/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$0.26$2.50162.5%Wide
2022$0.02$0.37182.6%Wide
2023$0.02$13.51199.5%Wide
2024$2.71$79.59186.8%Wide
2025$24.86$186.74153%Wide
3-Year Range
200%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
651.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.